Sometimes in a fantasy football you have to make a choice between two very similar players on the same team. This year, one such decision is the wide receiver situation with the Carolina Panthers. Over the last two seasons, the Panthers have replaced average players with exciting rookies. The emergence of Curtis Samuel and D.J. Moore made the often-disappointing Devin Funchess expendable. But which is the better player to own for fantasy football? Let’s take a look at the tale of two wideouts and see if we can decide which player is most likely to emerge as the fantasy stats…
Author: Dennis Michelsen
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Fantasy football theory has changed quite a bit over the years. Back in the day, after you got your best running backs, you would most certainly “handcuff” them to their backups, for insurance in case of injuries. However, it is often harder to figure out who the true backup will be if the starter goes down. We might need to add another term in the world of fantasy football, because sometimes your choice is between an unknown “handcuff” versus a type of player we will call a “zip tie.” Defining Zip Tie In the security world, handcuffs are reusable and…
Back in the old days of fantasy football drafts, if you didn’t take running backs with your first two picks, you were probably doomed. The number of bell cow running backs were much higher and guys often held their value better. In today’s NFL, we see less of the dominant back and more of the running back by committee approach. The number of rushing attempts per game has not dropped much over the past 12 years, averaging around 26-27 attempts per game, per team. The number of targeted passes to running backs has not changed significantly over the past eight…
If you have been playing fantasy football for more than one season, you understand that running backs and wide receivers are more valuable than quarterbacks. But if I asked how much more valuable, you might have a hard time answering that, right? What if I can show you a simple theory that puts a point per game value on relative value by position? What if I can show you how important your league rules are to understanding how that value changes between the positions? Get that chin strap buckled up, because I am about to add the valuable tool of…
A 16-game season in the NFL is tough on bodies, and that is the biggest reason some players under-perform on any given year. Sometimes, it is obvious because a player misses three or four games due to those injuries. Other times, guys play through the injury and it’s impossible in the statistics to know whether our favorite player has lost a step permanently or just for that season. The funniest thing that happens in fantasy football is how fast the mob falls in love with a player and how fast they fall out of love. When I refer to the…
This is the time of the year that every fantasy football analyst will be posting their top-30, 40 or 50 lists at every position. These lists are always interesting, BUT if they are meant to be a forecast for yearly totals, that is a total waste of time. Why? Because fantasy football is a weekly game! I would much rather have a guy who gives me five backup games of RB2 production and finished 50th in yearly points than someone who grinds out 35th in points for the year but doesn’t crack the top-24 weekly even once. That is why…
Every fantasy football analyst in the world is trying to sell you on the definitive way to build a winning team this time of the year. “Why the Zero RB Theory Works.” “Who to Draft Instead of a Kicker.” “Why You Should Ignore the QB Position Until Late Rounds.” I know you have seen THOSE headlines already this year! There are thousands of theories, but today I will let you know the simple truth…none of them work all the time! That’s right ALL of the theories on roster management touting one definitive formula to fantasy football success are quite often…
Forecasting fantasy football results is very similar to forecasting the weather, which I have been doing for over 30 years. There is always a range of outcomes possible in fantasy football forecasting, just like in weather forecasting. For a longer explanation of our Range of Outcomes Theory for fantasy football, CLICK HERE. List of Data Needed I have come up with a simple formula to follow for projecting a player’s value. I will give you the list without going into detail on why these factors were chosen and others omitted… Last three years of rankings Significant roster changes, plus or…
Forecasting fantasy football results is very similar to forecasting the weather, which I have been doing for over 30 years. There is always a range of outcomes possible in fantasy football forecasting, just like in weather forecasting. For a longer explanation of our Range of Outcomes Theory for fantasy football, CLICK HERE. List of Data Needed I have come up with a simple formula to follow for projecting a player’s value. I will give you the list without going into detail on why these factors were chosen and others omitted… Last three years of rankings Significant roster changes, plus or…
Forecasting fantasy football results is very similar to forecasting the weather, which I have been doing for over 30 years. There is always a range of outcomes possible in fantasy football forecasting, just like in weather forecasting. For a longer explanation of our Range of Outcomes Theory for fantasy football, CLICK HERE. List of Data Needed I have come up with a simple formula to follow for projecting a player’s value. I will give you the list without going into detail on why these factors were chosen and others omitted… Last three years of rankings Significant roster changes, plus or…