If you have been playing fantasy football for more than one season, you understand that running backs and wide receivers are more valuable than quarterbacks. But if I asked how much more valuable, you might have a hard time answering that, right?
What if I can show you a simple theory that puts a point per game value on relative value by position? What if I can show you how important your league rules are to understanding how that value changes between the positions? Get that chin strap buckled up, because I am about to add the valuable tool of “Relative Value” to your fantasy toolbox.
Big Ten Rating
Raise your hand if you produce your own fantasy football projections for players? Keep your hand raised IF you are correct on more than 60% of your predictions (within three points per week). What if I told you there is a tool that works far better than projections? Since the “Big Ten Rating” is based on past performances and shows a player’s upside, it is a useful tool. It is also painfully simple, because it is all about taking a player’s best ten games from the last ten years to compute a rating. The Big Ten Rating gives you a “best case” number for each player and even has a simple rookie weighting feature.
Explaining Relative Value Concept
Relative Value (RV) is designed to put a point value on the differences between positions as you go from the top player at the position to the final player. This is an improvement of the “Value Based Drafting” concept by Footballguys.com that revolutionized fantasy football. Instead of trying to forecast the actual point total for any given player for the upcoming season, like VBD does, RV attempts to play the “what if” game for each player. It is based on what each player is likely to produce in their best ten games, which I call the “Big Ten Rating.”
If a player can give me ten great games, I am a buyer! RV let’s me know when it is time to switch away from RB to WR, or when to grab my first TE or QB. The secret to success with RV is to understand how it adjusts with roster changes, because it is based on a player’s Big Ten Rating versus the first non-starter replacement at that position. You are then armed with a RV rating that can be compared between positions.
Roster Rules Matter
The First Commandment of fantasy football is to understand your league rules. Factors such as Super Flex, where you can start a second QB, or TE Premium, where you get bonus points for your TE’s receptions, can also make a big difference in strategy. Even in basic leagues, the difference between a player’s value in Standard versus Point Per Reception (PPR) leagues can make a big difference in who to pick and where.
Aren’t you happy if you can get ten great weeks from a player you draft in fantasy? The RV rating gives you concrete evidence of who is capable of ten great weeks relative to other players at his position and other positions without relying on unreliable player projections. Now you know what that part time player is capable of WHEN he gets the starting number of touches if the starter goes down with an injury.
If you are too lazy to calculate your own RV numbers, I have already done the work for you. Even better, a portion of the proceeds get donated to a worthy charity. Click the Twitter icon by my name above, or contact me at [email protected] and put the power of Relative Value to work for you this season.