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Spencer Rattler Notre Dame vs South Carolina prediction odds college football betting picks Gator Bowl game predictions

Credit: Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Notre Dame vs South Carolina Prediction, Odds and College Football Betting Picks for Gator Bowl

Henry John by Henry John
December 30, 2022
in Betting, College Football, NCAA
0
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For the first time since 1984, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are set to tangle with the South Carolina Gamecocks on Friday in what will be the 76th installment of the Gator Bowl. It has also been quite some time since either school last played in the Jacksonville-based bowl game. This will be the Irish’s first appearance since 2003 and the Gamecocks’ first since all the way back in 1987. The Notre Dame vs South Carolina odds and college football betting picks give an edge to the FBS Independent ahead of this highly-anticipated matchup.

The following game preview provides the college football betting odds, trends and FEI Index ratings before sharing our official Notre Dame vs South Carolina prediction for the Gator Bowl matchup.

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Notre Dame vs South Carolina Prediction | College Football Betting Picks

Gator Bowl
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-4) vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (8-4, 4-4 SEC)
Date: Friday, December 30, 2022
Time: 3:30 p.m. EST
Venue: TIAA Bank Field — Jacksonville, FL
Coverage: ESPN

Marcus Freeman’s first year as head coach in South Bend didn’t exactly start off as planned. After losing a close game to Ohio State in the season-opener, Notre Dame fans went into panic mode the following week when the Irish were upset by Marshall. Notre Dame finally got its first win of the year the following week over California and was largely able to settle in from there. The Irish were able to win eight of nine and climbed back into the national rankings prior to ending the regular season with a loss to rival USC.

Many felt that South Carolina was capable of making some noise in the SEC. The Gamecocks failed to do so early on, losing each of their first two conference games by lopsided margins. Wins over Kentucky and Texas A&M inspired confidence, but upon breaking into the AP Top 25 for the first time in years, Carolina lost to Missouri at home. Shane Beamer’s team took the college football world by storm late in the year with an upset win over Tennessee and a road victory over in-state rival Clemson.

Spencer Rattler Notre Dame vs South Carolina prediction odds college football betting picks Gator Bowl game predictions
Credit: Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Notre Dame vs South Carolina College Football Betting Picks and Odds

All college football betting odds for Notre Dame vs South Carolina can be found at BetOnline Sportsbook.

Moneyline: ND: (-180) | SC: (+160)
Point Spread: ND: -4 (-111) | SC: +4 (-109)
Total: 51 — Over: (-109) | Under: (-111)

College Football FEI Ratings

The following table shares the Fremeau Efficiency Index rankings for both teams involved in this Gator Bowl matchup. The purpose of the FEI ratings is to represent the per-possession scoring advantage that a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent. The rankings for offense and defense are out of 131 total FBS-level teams.

Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) ratings are from Football Outsiders

TeamOverall FEI (Rk)OFEI (Rk)DFEI (Rk)
Notre Dame.48 (24).41 (42).42 (31)
South Carolina.37 (34).26 (51).08 (57)

Notre Dame vs South Carolina College Football Betting Trends

  • Fighting Irish are 9-1 ATS in their last ten games when playing as a betting favorite of seven points or less.
  • The OVER is 6-0 in the Fighting Irish’s last six games overall.
  • The OVER is 4-0 in the Fighting Irish’s last four games following an ATS loss.
  • Gamecocks are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win.
  • The OVER is 5-1 in the Gamecocks’ last six games after rushing for less than 100 yards in their previous game.
  • Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last six bowl games.
  • Each of the Fighting Irish’s last five games against SEC opponents has stayed UNDER the total.

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Notre Dame vs South Carolina Prediction | College Football Betting Picks

After getting knocked out of the second game of the season with a shoulder injury, Tyler Buchner is in line to start for Notre Dame in the Gator Bowl. As such, he will be coming back much earlier than initial prognostications anticipated.

Of course, Buchner will also be starting somewhat by default. After starting the final ten games of the regular season, Drew Pyne departed for Arizona State via the college football transfer portal. Overall, the change at quarterback has had little impact on the Notre Dame vs South Carolina odds. In reality, Buchner’s return is just part of what figures to be a fascinating matchup on that side of the ball.

The Fighting Irish boast one of the best offensive lines in the country and figure to have an advantage over Carolina in the trenches. That said, Notre Dame was expected to be able to run the ball with relative ease on a number of occasions this season but wasn’t always successful in doing so on game day.

Spencer Rattler has reportedly “hinted” at entering the NFL Draft after the Gator Bowl.

The South Carolina QB has until January 16 to make his decision 👀 pic.twitter.com/169mhyO3mG

— Rookie Watch (@RookieWatxh) December 20, 2022

With star tight end Michael Mayer opting out to prepare for the NFL Draft, Buchner will have little in terms of reliable pass-catchers. This will only increase the likelihood of Notre Dame pounding the ball on the ground against a Gamecocks defense that has ceded nearly 200 rushing yards per game. Successfully implementing this strategy will also enable the Irish to keep the ball away from Spencer Rattler and a Carolina offense that finished the regular season with a flourish.

It should also be noted that the South Carolina offense will look quite a bit different from a personnel standpoint in the Gator Bowl. Leading rusher MarShawn Lloyd and tight end Jaheim Bell both entered the transfer portal. Wideout Josh Vann will miss the game with a knee injury and one of the Gamecocks’ starting tackles opted out to prep for the draft. Rattler will have leading receiver Juice Wells at his disposal, but it may not be enough against a Notre Dame defense that remains largely intact.

NOTRE DAME COVERS will be our official college football betting Notre Dame vs South Carolina prediction for the Gator Bowl.

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Notre Dame a 67.5% chance to win this game outright.

Bet: Notre Dame -4 (-111 at BetOnline Sportsbook)


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Tags: Bowl SeasonCollege FootballCollege Football BettingCollege Football Bowl GamesGator BowlJosh VannJuice WellsMarcus FreemanMichael MayerNCAANotre Dame Fighting IrishShane BeamerSouth Carolina GamecocksSpencer RattlerSports BettingTyler Buchner
Henry John

Henry John

Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball and NASCAR. He counts the NFL, the WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.

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