This in-state ACC battle sees the home team favored by nearly two touchdowns. Here are the Wake Forest vs North Carolina predictions and College Football picks for Week 11 in the college football season.
Wake Forest vs North Carolina Predictions
Odds courtesy of Bovada Sportsbook
We kick off this week’s college football picks with a Tar Heel State showdown. Wake Forest, winners of four straight, travel to take on a North Carolina team that can’t seem to maintain consistency from week to week. The line on this game has dropped from the opening 17-point spread in favor of UNC to the current North Carolina -13.5 at Bovada Sportsbook.
Slowing down the Wake Forest offensive attack figures to be no easy task for North Carolina on Saturday. QB Sam Hartman has been sharp during the Demon Deacons’ winning streak. The key will be evading the Tar Heels’ pass rush. North Carolina has recorded 23 sacks on the season (five last week) while the Wake offensive line has allowed Hartman to be taken down 19 times. The Demon Deacons also bring a dynamic pair of running backs to the table in Christian Beal-Smith and Kenneth Walker III. Both could find daylight against a UNC defense allowing nearly 150 rushing yards per game.
North Carolina is no longer ranked in the AP Top-25 thanks to a pair of bad losses at the hands of Florida State and Virginia. The Tar Heels managed to get back on track last week against in-state rival Duke, earning a convincing 32-point win. Such is life for Mack Brown’s team in 2020. They’ll look dominant one week and lose outright as a sizable favorite the next. Quarterback Sam Howell is putting up impressive numbers nonetheless and figures to have an opportune matchup this week against a Wake Forest secondary that has leaked yards and scores all season long.
College Football Picks: Wake Forest +13.5
At 13.5, just short of a full two-touchdown margin, the spread on this game feels like a total trap to lure money on the home favor. Quite frankly, I think Wake Forest could win this game outright, let alone keep it competitive throughout. After backing North Carolina on numerous occasions this season, I’ll gladly pick against them this week.