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Virginia vs Furman Prediction and NCAA Tournament March Madness Expert Picks

In a First Round NCAA Tournament game, the (4) Virginia Cavaliers will face off with the (13) Furman Paladins in the South Region. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting odds, March Madness expert picks, betting trends and KenPom Rankings, then give our Virginia vs Furman prediction. 

Virginia vs Furman Prediction and March Madness Expert Picks

2023 NCAA Tournament
No. 4 Virginia Cavalier (25-7) vs. No. 13 Furman Paladins (27-7)
Date: Thursday, March 16, 2022
Time: 12:40 PM EST
Venue: Amway Center — Orlando, FL
Coverage: truTV

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Virginia vs Furman March Madness Betting Odds

All college basketball betting odds for Virginia vs Furman can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: UVA: (-235) | FUR: (+195)
Point Spread: UVA: -5.5 (-110) | FUR: +5.5 (-110)
Total: 132 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

KenPom Rankings | Bracketology

KenPom Rankings are from


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  • Virginia is 12-18-2 against the spread (ATS) this season.
  • Furman is 18-13 ATS this season.
  • With 4+ days of rest, Virginia is 6-2 straight up while Furman is 4-1.
  • The OVER is 16-16 for Virginia this season.
  • The OVER is 17-14 for Furman this season.

Virginia vs Furman Prediction | March Madness Expert Picks

Many are saying Virginia is on upset alert in this first-round matchup with Furman. It is hard not to feed into that narrative, as we all remember how Virginia was upset by UMBC a few years ago.

Virginia can be prone to upsets due to their style of play. Since they play a slow, methodical offense, opponents that are able to play fast and control the pace can come away with wins. Momentum is certainly on Furman’s side as well, since they are 14-1 in their last 15 games.

While Furman does place faster than Virginia, they’re not exactly “fast.” They are a better rebounding team and shoot free throws better, which could be the difference in the game. However, Furman also turns the ball over and gets into foul trouble more often.

In the end, I do think Virginia barely gets the win. However, I hate where the point spread is currently and have zero desire to bet on it. Instead, we will bet on the point total. Missed free throws, good enough perimeter defense and the slow pace of Virginia will keep the score low.

Our college basketball betting Virginia vs Furman prediction tonight will be the point total going UNDER at BetUS

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Virginia a 78.4% chance to win.

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