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Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Props and NBA Betting Preview

After six days off for the All-Star break, NBA regular season action resumes tonight with a pair of games. One of them pits in-state rivals against one another as the San Antonio Spurs take on the Dallas Mavericks. The NBA betting oddsmakers view the home team as the favorite for this matchup.


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Spurs vs Mavericks Game Info

San Antonio Spurs (18-14, 9-4 Away) at Dallas Mavericks (18-16, 9-8 Home)
Date: Wednesday, Mar. 10, 2021
Start Time: 8:30 p.m. EST
Venue: American Airlines Center — Dallas, TX
Coverage: NBA TV, Fox Sports Southwest

Luka Doncic NBA betting spurs vs Mavericks prediction
Credit: Jerome Miron/USA TODAY Sports

Spurs vs Mavericks NBA Betting Odds

Odds courtesy of Bovada Sportsbook

Moneyline: SAS: (+160) | DAL: (-180)
Spread: SAS: +4 (-110) | DAL: -4 (-110)
Total: 226.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Spurs vs Mavericks NBA Betting Overview

Spurs Outlook

The Spurs missed a string of games just before the NBA All-Star break thanks to virus issues. Tonight’s game will allow San Antonio to make one of those missed games up and also provides fans with an intriguing all-Texas showdown. With an extra week to get healthy, the Spurs injury report is nearly empty. Only rookie Devin Vassell remains sidelined due to the virus. San Antonio will look to start the second half on a strong note after losing to the Oklahoma City Thunder in their final game before the break. DeMar DeRozan leads the Spurs in both scoring (20.0 points per game) and assists (7.2 per game) on the season.

Spurs Injury Report

  • Out: Devin Vassell (virus)

Mavericks Outlook

The Mavericks went into the NBA All-Star break on a three-game winning streak and will look to carry that momentum over into tonight’s NBA betting matchup. It was an up-and-down first half of the season for Dallas. The team battled various injuries, most notably big man Kristaps Porzingis. Defense has also been an issue for the Mavs this season. Nonetheless, they are two games over the .500 mark and in the thick of the Western Conference playoff picture at the halfway point. With a star player like Luka Doncic, it’s impossible to ever write the Mavericks off completely. Dallas won the only prior head-to-head meeting between the teams this season. 

Mavericks Injury Report

  • No Listed Injuries
  • Spurs 2020-21 Betting Trends: 18-14 ATS; 14-18 to the Over
  • Mavericks 2020-21 Betting Trends: 15-19 ATS; 16-18 to the Over
  • The Spurs are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games against the Mavericks.
  • The total has gone under in each of the Spurs last seven games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Mavericks are 7-1 straight up in their last eight home games.

Spurs vs Mavericks Statistics

  • San Antonio is averaging 111.0 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 22 in the NBA)
  • San Antonio is surrendering 110.9 PPG on the season (No. 10 in the NBA)
  • Dallas is averaging 111.8 PPG this season (No. 18 in the NBA)
  • Dallas is surrendering 112.3 PPG (No. 18 in the NBA)

Spurs vs Mavericks Prop Bet

Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Assists (-125 at Bovada Sportsbook)

NBA betting Spurs vs Mavericks betting trends NBA odds

While exceeding 8.5 assists in a game is nearly impossible for the majority of NBA players, Luka Doncic is not just any player. With that said, I like the over on this NBA player prop for tonight’s NBA betting pick. The Mavericks star enters tonight’s game averaging 9.0 assists on the season. The Spurs will undoubtedly make Doncic the focus of their defensive efforts. This will force him into playing an active role as a distributor. In the first meeting against the Spurs this season, this exact script came to light as Doncic finished with 11 assists. 

Doncic went into the NBA All-Star break with totals of 9 and 8 assists in the final two games to close the first half of the season. In the first game on the other side, I like him to once again be elite passing the basketball.

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