In a game filled with just about everything, the Houston Astros outlasted the Philadelphia Phillies 3-2 in a pivotal Game 5. The Astros now find themselves one win away from the ultimate prize. Can Philadelphia get their hot bats back, or will the Astros finish the series a game early?
This MLB betting preview for the World Series Phillies vs Astros Game 6 includes game info, starting pitchers, betting odds, trends and a prediction for tonight’s postseason matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction | World Series Game 6
World Series Game 6 (Houston leads 3-2)
Philadelphia Phillies (87-75, 40-41 Away) vs. Houston Astros (106-56, 55-26 Home)
Date: Saturday, Nov. 5, 2022
Time: 8:03 p.m. EST
Venue: Minute Maid Park — Houston, TX
Astros vs Phillies Starting Pitchers
Astros: Framber Valdez (17-6, 2.82 ERA)
Phillies: Zack Wheeler (12-7, 2.82 ERA)
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
Once again the Phillies’ hitting was nowhere to be found. While the spectacular Astros defense was part of the issue for them, they simply didn’t do enough offensively to deserve the win. The Phillies could only register six total hits. The top five batters in their lineup combined to hit just 2-18 (.111). Philadelphia is always a threat to hit home runs, but it’s clear they can’t be relied on to hit enough to get the job done each game.
The Phillies only gave up three runs but they were lucky it wasn’t a lot more. The Astros scored a run by the fourth pitch of the game. In the eighth inning, they also allowed the first two runners to get on base in a one-run game. The pitching staff kept them in check outside of that, but against a team as good as Houston, they can’t afford to spot them baserunners to start innings.
Houston Astros Preview
One of the biggest takeaways from Game 5 was just how good the Astros’ defense can be. Great defensive plays from Trey Mancini and Chas McCormick likely saved multiple runs both in the eighth and ninth innings. When combined with a bullpen that gave up just two hits over the final three innings, it’s going to be very hard for any team to beat them, much less a Phillies team struggling to get their offense going.
Even though they got the win, it still feels like we haven’t seen the best the Astros have to offer offensively. In previous postseason games, it was the top of the order that struggled with Yordan Alvarez picking up most of the slack. In Game 5, Jose Altuve and Jeremy Pena combined for five hits while the rest of the team combined for four. The inconsistent offense is making it tough for them to pull away which is dangerous with how quickly Philadelphia’s offense can catch fire.
Phillies vs Astros Odds | MLB Playoffs Predictions
Moneyline: PHI: (+131) | HOU: (-142)
Run Line: PHI: +1.5 (-175) | HOU: -1.5 (+155)
Total: 7 — Over: (+103) | Under: (-123)
Phillies vs Astros MLB Betting Trends
- The over is 7-5 in Philadelphia’s last 12 games.
- Philadelphia is 8-4 straight up in their last 12 games.
- Philadelphia is 4-7 straight up in their last 11 games against Houston.
- The under is 8-3 in Houston’s last 11 games.
- Houston is 12-2 straight up in their last 14 games.
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Phillies vs Astros Stats
- Philadelphia is averaging 4.61 runs per game (RPG) this season (No. 7 in the MLB).
- Philadelphia is surrendering 4.23 RPG this season (No. 15 in the MLB).
- Houston is averaging 4.55 RPG this season (No. 8 in the MLB).
- Houston is surrendering 3.20 RPG this season (No. 2 in the MLB).
Phillies vs Astros MLB Weather Report
Wind: 6 MPH (blowing out to left)
Phillies vs Astros Prediction | World Series Game 6
The Phillies vs Astros prediction uses NumberFire’s probability model. They give Houston a 57.3% chance to win Game 5 of this World Series MLB Playoffs matchup.