FlurrySports looks at the NASCAR betting odds and shares picks to win the Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono Raceway.
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The NASCAR Cup Series arrives at Pocono Raceway this weekend for the Great American Getaway 400, the 16th points-paying event of the 2026 season. Coming off back-to-back victories, Denny Hamlin has all the momentum heading into Pennsylvania — and the NASCAR betting market has taken notice.
Pocono Raceway earned the nickname “The Tricky Triangle” for good reason. The three corners each feature distinct banking angles, meaning teams must find a car setup that handles well through vastly different types of turns. In essence, three tracks are combined into one — Turn 1 is modeled after the defunct Trenton Speedway, Turn 2 after Indianapolis Motor Speedway and Turn 3 after the Milwaukee Mile.
Connecting the three unique corners are three long, flat straightaways where raw speed becomes the great equalizer. Track position and pit road strategy round out the key factors for anyone looking to contend on Sunday.
Below, we break down the NASCAR betting odds to win the Great American Getaway 400 — including our picks from favorites to long shots worth a closer look.
Great American Getaway 400 NASCAR Race at Pocono Raceway
Great American Getaway 400
Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
Start Time: 3 p.m. EST
Coverage: Amazon Prime Video
Distance: 400 miles (160 laps)
Stages: Three (30 laps, 65 laps, 65 laps)
Pole Sitter: TBD
Defending Champion: Chase Briscoe
Great American Getaway 400 NASCAR Betting Odds to Win
The last two weeks, Denny Hamlin has come all the way from the rear to win outright. Upon taking the lead last week at Michigan, his car was so dominant that he pulled away to win by more than 11 seconds! After back-to-back remarkable performances, its no shock that Hamlin is the decisive NASCAR betting favorite to win at Pocono.
What is perhaps surprising to some is the gap in the odds between the No. 11 car and the rest of the field. The mid-week price of +275 implies more than a 26% probability that Hamlin will win the Great American Getaway 400. Outside of Shane van Gisbergen’s road course odds, this is easily the shortest a driver has been lined all season.
Hamlin’s Pocono track stats only reinforce his case as the favorite. In the last three races at the Tricky Triangle, he has one win and two runner-up finishes. He has won three of the last nine races here and has seven career wins in total.
Tyler Reddick is a distant second choice on the odds board at +750. Kyle Larson, Ryan Blaney and Christopher Bell form the trio of drivers priced at +850. The price on Bell is particularly interesting given that he suffered a broken wrist in a heavy crash last week. Last year’s Pocono winner, Chase Briscoe, is lined at 10-1.
The table below lists the pre-qualifying odds for the full field.
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Great American Getaway 400 betting odds are taken from BetUS Sportsbook.
| Driver | Odds to Win | Great American Getaway 400 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | +275 | Daniel Suarez | +8000 |
| Tyler Reddick | +750 | Josh Berry | +12500 |
| Kyle Larson | +850 | Connor Zilisch | +12500 |
| Ryan Blaney | +850 | Michael McDowell | +15000 |
| Christopher Bell | +850 | Daniel Dye | +15000 |
| Chase Elliott | +1000 | Shane van Gisbergen | +20000 |
| Chase Briscoe | +1000 | Zane Smith | +20000 |
| William Byron | +1200 | Austin Dillon | +20000 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1200 | Austin Hill | +20000 |
| Chris Buescher | +1800 | John Hunter Nemechek | +20000 |
| Carson Hocevar | +1800 | AJ Allmendinger | +25000 |
| Bubba Wallace | +2500 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +25000 |
| Joey Logano | +3000 | Noah Gragson | +40000 |
| Brad Keselowski | +3000 | Riley Herbst | +40000 |
| Ross Chastain | +4000 | Todd Gilliland | +50000 |
| Erik Jones | +4000 | Cole Custer | +50000 |
| Alex Bowman | +6600 | Ty Dillon | +70000 |
| Ryan Preece | +8000 | Cody Ware | +100000 |
| Austin Cindric | +8000 | Casey Mears | +100000 |
NASCAR Betting Picks and Predictions: Who Will Win the Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono Raceway?
Favorite: Kyle Larson (+850)
To be clear, we are hardly disputing Denny Hamlin’s status as the rightful NASCAR betting favorite at Pocono this week. The heater he has been on combined with his historical dominance at the Tricky Triangle makes the case for him straightforward. What is being disputed is the price.
Last week at Michigan, Hamlin at less than 4-1 odds was still palatable. At less than 3-1 this week, it’s a different conversation — and the presence of such a large favorite creates more favorable prices on other legitimate contenders. Kyle Larson is one of them.
Much of the recent commentary surrounding Larson has focused on his lengthy Cup Series winless drought. Look past the headline and the No. 5 car has been right in the thick of things. Larson finished fifth at Charlotte and fourth at Michigan last week. Sandwiched in between was a 23rd at Nashville that would have been significantly better if not for a flat tire with one lap remaining.
Speaking of flat tires, Larson had one cost him a Pocono win on the final lap back in 2021. He remains winless at the Tricky Triangle, but a pair of top-5s and four top-10s in the last six races here is a résumé worth respecting. In the Next Gen era, Larson ranks third in average running position (11.5), fifth in average driver rating (91.93) and fifth in average finish (11.75).
Hendrick Motorsports has been closing the gap on the Toyotas in recent weeks, and it’s hard to ignore the organization’s best driver at the +850 price point.
Value Pick: Ty Gibbs (+1200)
While he hasn’t necessarily been the best Joe Gibbs Racing car on a week-to-week basis, Ty Gibbs has been the epitome of consistency throughout the 2026 season. His six top-5 finishes still rank third on the entire circuit behind only Denny Hamlin and Tyler Reddick. The last few weeks haven’t been as eye-opening, but his poor Michigan result was the product of mid-race incident damage rather than a lack of speed.
On the surface, Gibbs’ Pocono finishing results don’t inspire confidence — just one finish better than 14th in four prior Cup starts. The 2024 race, however, is worth a closer look. Gibbs started on the pole, led 21 laps, and was still running in the top 10 with 50 laps remaining before a pit road speeding penalty derailed his afternoon. An engine failure shortly after sealed his fate. The underlying performance was clearly there.
Across the four Next Gen races at Pocono, Gibbs ranks second in average starting position and sixth in average practice speed — a strong indicator that the No. 54 tends to unload with speed to burn here. At a track where qualifying and track position tend to have a major influence on the result, that trend looms large.
Any one of the JGR Toyotas is capable of winning on a given week. Getting the longest shot of the four at 12-1 is an appealing NASCAR betting position.
Long Shot Hopeful: Bubba Wallace (+2500)
Pocono doesn’t have a direct track comparison on the schedule, but the similarities to Indianapolis Motor Speedway are hard to ignore — long, flat straightaways with minimal banking in the turns suggest a similar setup will be rewarded. Bubba Wallace knows what it takes to win at that type of track, having claimed the Brickyard 400 a year ago.
It was easy to forget during his recent struggles that Wallace drives for the dominant Toyota manufacturer. The No. 23 team was mired in a significant slump entering Michigan last week before calming the turbulence with a third-place finish.
Based on his strong practice speeds at Pocono in recent years, Wallace should be able to secure a favorable starting position. His actual results here back up the optimism — finishes of fifth, eighth, 11th, and tenth across the four races from 2021 through 2024 before a DNF last year. The 25-1 NASCAR betting price point fails to accurately reflect the speed the No. 23 has shown throughout 2026.
