The NBA Playoffs roll on Monday night with another doubleheader. The early game will feature the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks looking to take a commanding 3-1 series lead over the Boston Celtics. The nightcap will see the Golden State Warriors aim to do the same against a Memphis Grizzlies team that is likely to be without its best player. Just like during the regular season, injuries can often open up NBA betting picks opportunities during the playoffs. This sentiment certainly rings true when it comes to the NBA props market for tonight’s games. The following article offers three of the best NBA player prop bets for the May 9th playoffs action.
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Best NBA Betting Player Props for Tonight, 5/9
Jaylen Brown UNDER 4.5 Assists (-154)
From a scoring standpoint, Jaylen Brown has been a key cog for the Boston Celtics in both Games 2 and 3 of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. The guard followed up his 30-point performance in Game 2 with another 27 on Saturday. Brown has also been contributing more than usual as a playmaker in these playoffs. He has notably exceeded his per-game assists average of 3.5 in five of the last six games. However, Brown has only topped tonight’s NBA player props line of 4.5 helpers once in the last four games.
One might be surprised to see such a difference in Brown’s ability to top his per-game average as opposed to the NBA picks total. Well, considering that the over/under is set one full assist higher than what the 25-year-old averaged on a per-game basis this season, the bar has been raised significantly.
Brown can quite literally exceed his season average by half an assist and still stay under the NBA betting number. It’s also worth pointing out that the 3.5 assists he averaged this season are the most of any year in his young professional career. Distributing the basketball simply is not the focal point of Brown’s game. Given the statistical discrepancy, this under prediction is worth including in tonight’s NBA props portfolio.
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Bobby Portis OVER 7.5 Rebounds (-148)
Given how the Milwaukee Bucks have dominated the interior in the first three games of these Eastern Conference Semifinals, it’s impossible to not expect a similar result on Monday night. The Bucks have outscored the Boston Celtics in the paint by a whopping 50 points in Games 2 and 3 combined. The Bucks’ size and length down low are simply unmatched by the current Celtics roster. One way to capitalize on this handicap with NBA player props is to bet over the current totals for Milwaukee center, Bobby Portis.
Even with fellow center Brook Lopez fully back in the rotation, Portis has still seen no fewer than 25 minutes in each of the last six games. Portis did fall short of the NBA player props rebound total on Saturday. He corralled seven boards across 25 minutes of action in the Bucks’ Game 3 win. While this total is a half-rebound under Monday’s NBA betting picks listing, it was also the second-worst rebounding game Portis has had this postseason.
The 28-year-old has typically flown over the line, posting double-digit rebounds in five of eight playoff games thus far. Considering that Portis is playing about the same amount as the 28 minutes he averaged over the course of the full season, even the juiced odds are not enough to sway us from betting the over. After all, he averaged over 9.1 boards per game on the full season.
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Dillon Brooks OVER 3.5 Rebounds (+106)
This has been a Western Conference Semifinals series to forget so far for Dillon Brooks. The Memphis Grizzlies’ wing has actually only been on the floor for a grand total of 33 minutes in the series thanks to being ejected from Game 2 early on. The flagrant 2 foul Brooks was assessed also led to him being suspended for Game 3. As such, redemption will undoubtedly be on Brooks’ mind on Monday night.
One of the surprising stats of this series has been Memphis’ inability to win on the glass. The Grizzlies had the best Rebound Rate (53.3) of any team in the NBA all season long. So far in these Western Conference Semifinals, they have been outrebounded by the Golden State Warriors in all three games. If the Grizz are to bounce back as a team on the glass tonight, Brooks will need to make an impact. The likely absence of Ja Morant frees up several additional rebounds for other Memphis backcourt players.
While Brooks is hardly known for being a stat sheet stuffer, eclipsing the NBA player props line of 3.5 boards is hardly out of the question. On the full season, Brooks averaged 3.2 rebounds per game. Given Memphis’ shorthanded situation, the former Oregon standout will certainly have opportunities to make a difference on the glass in Game 4. The availability of a substantial plus-money price makes this over prediction all the more appealing.