It’s now or never for the New York Yankees. After dropping both Games 1 and 2 in Houston, the Yankees cannot afford to drop into a 3-0 hole against the Houston Astros. With the Astros vs Yankees series now shifting to New York, can the Yankees fight back, or will the Astros find themselves just one step away from the World Series?
This MLB betting preview for the ALCS MLB Playoffs Yankees vs Astros Game 3 includes game info, starting pitchers, betting odds, trends and a prediction for tonight’s postseason matchup.
Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction | ALCS MLB Playoffs Game 3
ALCS MLB Playoffs Game 3 (HOU leads 2-0)
Houston Astros (106-56, 51-30 Away) vs. New York Yankees (99-63, 57-24 Home)
Date: Saturday, Oct. 22, 2022
Time: 5:07 p.m. EST
Venue: Yankee Stadium — Bronx, NY
Astros vs Yankees Starting Pitchers
Astros: Christian Javier (11-9, 2.54 ERA)
Yankees: Gerrit Cole (13-8, 3.50 ERA)
Houston Astros Preview
In Game 2, the Houston Astros needed just one swing of the bat to get the job done. The Astros collected eight hits but just one Alex Bregman three-run home run in the third inning made all the difference. Houston quite honestly should’ve scored even more runs but unfortunately weren’t able to string hits together effectively. The power that exists throughout their lineup makes them so dangerous as any batter can change the game with one pitch.
Once again, the Astros’ pitching was fantastic. Framber Valdez went seven innings and gave up just four hits while striking out nine. He got himself into a little trouble in the fourth inning but got out of it with the lead still intact. If the Astros can get a similar performance from Christian Javier in Game 3, they’ll be all but assured of a victory in Game 3.
New York Yankees Preview
The Yankees find themselves in a bit of trouble and the mood around the clubhouse is concerning. In their postgame press conferences, multiple Yankees complained about what hits were and weren’t leaving the park in Houston. The Yankees should be focused more on the task ahead and instead seem to be lamenting on past failures and what may be “fair.”
The good news for the Yankees was that their pitching was solid in Game 2. New York did well to limit the damage and they gave up just five hits after the third inning. Their offense will eventually come around. When it does, if the pitching can continue to hold the Astros to just a few runs per game, they stand a good chance at least taking one of two back home in New York.
Astros vs Yankees Odds | MLB Playoffs Predictions
Moneyline: HOU: (+128) | NYY: (-138)
Run Line: HOU: +1.5 (-175) | NYY: -1.5 (+155)
Total: 7 — Over: (+105) | Under: (-125)
Public (Spread) Betting via Action Network: HOU: (45%) | NYY: (55%)
Astros vs Yankees MLB Betting Trends
- The under has hit in eight of Houston’s last 10 games.
- Houston is 6-2 straight up in their last eight games against New York.
- Houston is 9-3 straight up in their last 12 games.
- New York is 11-3 straight up in their last 14 home games.
- The under has hit in eight of New York’s last nine games.
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Astros vs Yankees Stats
- New York is averaging 4.98 runs per game (RPG) this season (No. 2 in the MLB).
- New York is surrendering 3.50 RPG this season (No. 3 in the MLB).
- Houston is averaging 4.55 RPG this season (No. 8 in the MLB).
- Houston is surrendering 3.20 RPG this season (No. 2 in the MLB).
Astros vs Yankees MLB Weather Report
Status: Mostly Sunny
Wind: 6 MPH (blowing in from right)
Astros vs Yankees Prediction | ALCS MLB Playoffs Game 3
The Astros vs Yankees prediction uses NumberFire’s probability model. They give New York a 61.1% chance to win Game 3 of this ALCS MLB Playoffs matchup.