FlurrySports looks at the NASCAR betting odds and shares picks to win the Anduril 250 at the Coronado Street Course.
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The NASCAR Cup Series makes history this weekend in San Diego, trading ovals and traditional road courses for the streets of Naval Base Coronado. The 3.4-mile, 16-turn beast that is the Coronado Street Course is loaded with narrow passages, tight 90-degree corners and rough asphalt. It will certainly test the abilities of drivers and teams to adapt on the fly.
Of course, the absence of any prior data points at this specific venue creates an unusual handicapping problem this week. Normally a brand-new track means relatively wide-open odds and a leaderboard full of question marks. Instead, the NASCAR betting market has settled on one man as the clear frontrunner.
Below, we break down the NASCAR betting odds to win the Anduril 250 — including our picks from favorites to long shots worth a closer look.
Anduril 250 NASCAR Race at Naval Base Coronado
Anduril 250
Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026
Start Time: 4 p.m. ET
Coverage: Amazon Prime Video
Distance: 255 miles (75 laps)
Stages: Three (20 laps, 20 laps, 35 laps)
Pole Sitter: TBD
Defending Champion: N/A
Anduril 250 NASCAR Betting Odds to Win
It was no secret coming into the week which driver would be favored to win the Anduril 250. The only question hanging in the balance was just how big a favorite Shane van Gisbergen would be. The answer to that question is pretty simple — SVG is one of the largest NASCAR betting race favorites of all time.
The consensus market price of -160 implies more than a 61% chance that van Gisbergen will win this street course race on Sunday. Considering that he’s won six of the last seven road and street course races contested in the Cup Series, there’s no disputing him as the frontrunner at a circuit none of the drivers have been before.
Beyond SVG, there’s a really a “best of the rest” vibe to the NASCAR betting odds this week. Connor Zilisch is the closest in terms of price at +450 with an implied probability of 18%. The top two Toyota road racers follow with Tyler Reddick at 8-1 and Ty Gibbs at 12-1.
Watkins Glen runner-up Michael McDowell is the only other driver in the field priced shorter than 22-1. A trio of Hendrick Motorsports drivers who have won road races in the past follow. Barring something shocking, it’s tough to imagine that the Coronado Street Course winner won’t be one of the top five drivers listed in the odds.
The table below lists the pre-qualifying odds for the full field.
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Anduril 250 betting odds are taken from BetUS Sportsbook.
| Driver | Odds to Win | Anduril 250 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shane van Gisbergen | -160 | Corey Heim | +10000 |
| Connor Zilisch | +450 | Alex Bowman | +10000 |
| Tyler Reddick | +800 | Ryan Preece | +20000 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1200 | Bubba Wallace | +20000 |
| Michael McDowell | +1600 | Todd Gilliland | +25000 |
| Kyle Larson | +2200 | Erik Jones | +25000 |
| Chase Elliott | +2500 | Brad Keselowski | +30000 |
| William Byron | +2500 | Jimmie Johnson | +30000 |
| AJ Allmendinger | +2500 | John Hunter Nemechek | +30000 |
| Chris Buescher | +3000 | Zane Smith | +30000 |
| Christopher Bell | +3000 | Josh Berry | +50000 |
| Ross Chastain | +4000 | Austin Dillon | +50000 |
| Kevin Magnussen | +4000 | Noah Gragson | +50000 |
| Chase Briscoe | +4000 | Rilery Herbst | +50000 |
| Daniel Suarez | +5000 | Austin Hill | +50000 |
| Ryan Blaney | +5000 | Cole Custer | +50000 |
| Denny Hamlin | +6600 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +50000 |
| Carson Hocevar | +6600 | Ty Dillon | +50000 |
| Austin Cindric | +8000 | Cody Ware | +100000 |
| Joey Logano | +8000 |
NASCAR Betting Picks and Predictions: Who Will Win the Anduril 250 at Coronado?
Favorite: Shane van Gisbergen (-160)
Asking who beats Shane van Gisbergen this week is close to a rhetorical question at this point. Since the start of 2023, van Gisbergen has competed in 14 of 19 road and street course events held at the Cup Series level. Not only has he won half of those starts, but his average driver rating over that span is nearly 25 points better than any other competitor.
Narrow the lens to since he went full-time in Cup at the start of 2025, and the case only sharpens. Across eight road and street course starts over that recent stretch, SVG has won six of them. The only two blemishes both came at the same track — COTA, where he finished sixth in 2025 and runner-up earlier this year. Remove both COTA races from the equation, and he is a perfect 6-for-6 on outright wins.
Zoom in further to just the last six road courses overall (including COTA this year), and the statistical gap becomes almost absurd — seven spots better than any other driver in average running position, nearly 40 more laps led than the next closest competitor and more than 35 points better than anyone else in average driver rating.
The track itself only adds to the case. SVG won the Chicago Street Course twice, which is about as close to a Coronado parallel as exists anywhere on the 2026 schedule — tight, low-grip street circuits where precision matters far more than horsepower. With nobody having raced this layout before and the entire field essentially limited to iRacing simulation, the driver most equipped to adapt the fastest figures to have a sizable advantage.
The -160 price point is a clear indicator that NASCAR betting oddsmakers not only recognize SVG’s road racing prowess but that they also would love bettors to take anyone else. For those looking to back the favorite, you can potentially get a better price by picking him on Kalshi as opposed to the sportsbooks. Best of all, you can play on Kalshi from anywhere!
Value Pick: Tyler Reddick (+800)
If anyone has a claim to being the second-best road racer in the Cup Series field right now, it’s Tyler Reddick — and the numbers back it up. Across the last six road and street course races, Reddick ranks second to only SVG in average finish, average running position and driver rating. That’s not a fluke or a hot week; that’s sustained, top-tier performance at exactly the type of track the series visits this weekend.
The most relevant data point of all: Reddick took the road event at COTA earlier this year, the only one of the last six road and street course races that van Gisbergen didn’t win. If there’s a blueprint for beating van Gisbergen, Reddick has already run it once this season. He comes with decent NASCAR betting outright odds and is firmly on the short list of drivers to consider outside of SVG.
There’s also a juicier subplot tied to the price. Reddick’s points lead over Hamlin has shrunk to just 19 with Hamlin riding a three-race win streak — and road courses have historically been a weak spot for Hamlin. He is on the fringes of the top-20 in terms of statistical power rating this week. Thus, Reddick has a prime opportunity to rebuild what has been a rapidly diminishing points lead in San Diego.
Long Shot Hopeful: Michael McDowell (+1600)
Michael McDowell has a legitimate résumé when it comes to this racing discipline. He won the road course at Indianapolis back in 2023 and has stacked up 18 top-10 finishes and 9 top-5s at road and street courses over his career, numbers that hold up against nearly anyone in this field outside of SVG himself.
Looking at the last six road races specifically, McDowell has achieved the third-best average starting position. Achieving a similarly strong starting track position could go a long way toward success at a brand new venue this weekend. He also holds ranks of sixth in average running position, fourth in average laps led and third in average driver rating over that six-race sample.
McDowell isn’t winning poles or threatening for wins on a weekly basis in 2026, but road and street courses have always been where he’s punched above his weight. He was easily the second-best car at Watkins Glen next to SVG and parlayed that into a runner-up result. He was also fifth at COTA earlier in the year. If a break or two goes his way in San Diego, he could prove to be very live at 16-1 odds.
