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Yankees vs Astros Prediction, Starting Pitchers and Betting Odds for ALCS MLB Playoffs Game 1

In a Yankees vs Astros matchup that not many regular baseball fans wanted, the ALCS pits the New York Yankees against the Houston Astros. The Houston Astros come in after sweeping the Seattle Mariners while the New York Yankees come in after outlasting the Cleveland Guardians in five games. Will the Yankees finally make it back to the World Series, or will the Astros continue their dominance over the American League?

This MLB betting preview for the ALCS MLB Playoffs Yankees vs Astros Game 1 includes game info, starting pitchers, betting odds, trends and a prediction for tonight’s postseason matchup.

New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction | ALCS MLB Playoffs Game 1

ALCS MLB Playoffs Game 1
New York Yankees (99-63, 42-39 Away) vs. Houston Astros (106-56, 55-26 Home)
Date: Wednesday, Oct. 19, 2021
Time: 7:37 p.m. EST
Venue: Minute Maid Park — Houston, TX
Coverage: TBS

Yankees vs Astros Starting Pitchers

Yankees: Jameson Taillon (14-5, 3.91 ERA)
AstrosJustin Verlander (18-4, 1.75 ERA)

New York Yankees Preview

After falling into a slump at the end of the season, the New York Yankees found themselves in a 2-1 series hole against the Guardians. New York found a way to fight out of it however and win a postponed Game 5 on Tuesday. The Yankees’ pitching hasn’t been great so far, and they will have their hands full against the much better Houston Astros.

The hitting for the Yankees was solid against a stout Guardians pitching staff. A lot of their run support came from the long ball in the ALDS. If they want to compete with the Astros, the Yankees will need to also be able to score some runs by playing small ball as well. Although the home run is king in the playoffs, it’s unwise to completely rely upon it.

Houston Astros Preview

The Houston Astros looked solid on the surface in the ALDS against the Seattle Mariners. The series was very close to going a completely different way though. Houston needed a ninth inning three-run homer to come back from a two-run deficit in Game 1. In Game 2, the Mariners once again fumbled a lead late in the game. In Game 3, Houston outlasted Seattle in the 18th inning.

The Astros’ offense almost solely hinged on the success of Yordan Alvarez against Seattle. The Yankees have a much better offense and pitching staff than Seattle. If other guys like Jose Altuve and Kyle Tucker can’t get their act together, their postseason may end at the hand of the Yankees.

Yankees vs Astros Prediction, Starting Pitchers and Betting Odds for ALCS MLB Playoffs Game 1
Credit: Karen Warren/Houston Chronicle

Yankees vs Astros Odds | MLB Playoffs Predictions

MLB betting odds for Yankees vs Astros are taken from BetOnline Sportsbook.

Moneyline: NYY: (+167) | HOU: (-182)
Run Line: 
NYY: -1.5 (-140) | HOU: +1.5 (+120)
6.5 — Over: (-120) | Under: (+100)
Public (Spread) Betting via Action NetworkNYY: (43%) | HOU: (57%)

Yankees vs Astros MLB Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in six of Houston’s last eight games.
  • Houston is 4-2 straight up in their last six games against New York.
  • Houston is 7-3 straight up in their last 10 games.
  • The under has hit in five of New York’s last seven road games.
  • The under has hit in six of New York’s last seven games.

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Yankees vs Astros Stats

  • New York is averaging 4.98 runs per game (RPG) this season (No. 2 in the MLB).
  • New York is surrendering 3.50 RPG this season (No. 3 in the MLB).
  • Houston is averaging 4.55 RPG this season (No. 8 in the MLB).
  • Houston is surrendering 3.20 RPG this season (No. 2 in the MLB).

Yankees vs Astros MLB Weather Report

Status: Clear
5 MPH (blowing out to right center)

Yankees vs Astros Prediction | ALCS MLB Playoffs Game 1

The Yankees vs Astros prediction uses NumberFire’s probability model. They give Houston a 58.7% chance to win Game 1 of this ALCS MLB Playoffs matchup.

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