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USC vs Miami prediction NCAA Tournament bracketology college basketball picks

Credit: Rick Bowmer/AP Photo

USC vs Miami Prediction, Bracketology and Pick for College Basketball NCAA Tournament

Henry John by Henry John
March 18, 2022
in Betting, College Basketball, NCAA
0
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In a First Round NCAA Tournament game, the 7-seed USC Trojans will face off with the 10-seed Miami Hurricanes in the Midwest Region. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting odds, picks, bracketology, betting trends and KenPom Rankings, then give our USC vs Miami prediction for the game today. 

USC vs Miami | NCAA Tournament Bracketology

2022 NCAA Tournament
No. 7 USC Trojans (26-7) vs. No. 10 Miami Hurricanes (23-10)
Date: Friday, March 18, 2022
Time: 3:10 PM EST
Venue: Bon Secours Wellness Arena — Greenville, SC
Coverage: truTV

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USC vs Miami College Basketball Betting Picks and Odds

All college basketball betting odds for USC vs Miami can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: USC: (N/A) | MIA: (N/A)
Point Spread: USC: -1.5 (-110) | MIA: +1.5 (-110)
Total: 139.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)


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USC vs Miami prediction NCAA Tournament bracketology college basketball picks
Credit: Rick Bowmer/AP Photo

KenPom Rankings | Bracketology

KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com

TeamRkAdjOAdjDAdjT
USCNo. 42110.5 (No. 46)96.0 (No. 49)66.0 (No. 237)
MiamiNo. 60114.7 (No. 17)102.1 (No. 155)67.3 (No. 160)
Flurry Sports: Furthest the remaining ACC team goes – Powered By PickUp

USC vs Miami College Basketball Betting Trends

  • Trojans are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite.
  • Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last eight NCAA Tournament games.
  • Each of the Trojans’ last six neutral site games has gone UNDER the total.
  • Hurricanes are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss.
  • The total has gone OVER in each of the Hurricanes’ last five games following a straight up loss.
  • The OVER is 7-1 in the Hurricanes’ last eight neutral site games as an underdog.

USC vs Miami Prediction | March Madness Picks and Bracketology

From a size standpoint, USC has more of it than virtually every other team in this year’s NCAA Tournament field. Look no further than the fact that the 6’9” Drew Peterson operates as the team’s primary point guard for proof. Down low, Isaiah Mobley and Chevez Goodwin are two highly-skilled and experienced big men. Needless to say, Miami likely won’t find much room to operate close to the basket offensively.

From a statistical standpoint, USC ranked 49th in adjusted defensive efficiency this season according to KenPom. The Trojans are also never in a hurry to push the pace. An average of only 66.0 possessions per 40 minutes ranked 237th in Division I. It’s also worth pointing out that the Hurricanes only ranked 167th themselves in adjusted tempo.

Given the opinion that USC is the superior team in this matchup, bettors should largely expect the Trojans to dictate the terms and pace of play. This automatically correlates to the under, and the betting market has hammered that side of the total early on. In fact, this line opened all the way up at 145. Some sportsbooks have already lowered the total to an even 139. The best of the number may have already been gobbled up, but the window to buy remains open.

Our college basketball betting USC vs Miami prediction tonight will be UNDER 139.5 at BetUS. 

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives USC a 52.9% chance to win.

Bet: UNDER 139.5

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Tags: BracketologyCollege BasketballCollege Basketball BettingMarch MadnessMiami HurricanesNCAANCAA TournamentSports BettingUSC Trojans
Henry John

Henry John

Henry John is a multi-sport analyst specializing in motorsports, football, and betting markets. His work focuses on performance trends, strategy, and data-driven insights to better understand outcomes and identify value. With experience producing content across multiple platforms, Henry has written extensively on NASCAR, college football, the NFL, and other major sports, developing structured analysis that goes beyond surface-level recaps. His approach blends statistical evaluation, betting market awareness, and game-level context to break down how and why results happen. Outside of sports, Henry enjoys strength training, outdoor activities, and continuous learning in analytics and performance.

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