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Tommy Kuhse Saint Mary's vs Indiana prediction bracketology college basketball picks NCAA Tournament

Credit: AP Photo/Rick Scuteri

Saint Mary’s vs Indiana Prediction, Bracketology and Pick for College Basketball NCAA Tournament

Henry John by Henry John
March 17, 2022
in Betting, College Basketball, NCAA
0
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In a First Round NCAA Tournament game, the 5-seed Saint Mary’s Gaels will face off with the 12-seed Indiana Hoosiers in the East Region. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting odds, picks, bracketology, betting trends and KenPom Rankings, then give our Saint Mary’s vs Indiana prediction for the game today. 

Saint Mary’s vs Indiana | NCAA Tournament Bracketology

2022 NCAA Tournament
No. 5 Saint Mary’s Gaels (25-7) vs. No. 12 Indiana Hoosiers (21-13)
Date: Thursday, March 17, 2022
Time:7:20 PM EST
Venue: Moda Center — Portland, OR
Coverage: TBS

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Saint Mary’s vs Indiana College Basketball Betting Picks and Odds

All college basketball betting odds for Saint Mary’s vs Indiana can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: SMC: (-155) | IU: (+135)
Point Spread: SMC: -3.5 (-110) | IU: +3.5 (-110)
Total: 126.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)


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Tommy Kuhse Saint Mary's vs Indiana prediction bracketology college basketball picks NCAA Tournament
Credit: AP Photo/Rick Scuteri

KenPom Rankings | Bracketology

KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com

TeamRkAdjOAdjDAdjT
Saint Mary’sNo. 16109.8 (No. 63)90.0 (No. 9)63.5 (No. 338)
IndianaNo. 36107.6 (No. 91)92.6 (No. 21)67.0 (No. 185)

Saint Mary’s vs Indiana College Basketball Betting Trends

  • Gaels are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss.
  • The total has gone OVER in each of the Gaels’ last five games following a straight up loss.
  • The UNDER is 7-1 in the Gaels’ last eight NCAA Tournament games.
  • Hoosiers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
  • Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog.
  • In their last five games against teams with a winning record, the Hoosiers are 5-0 ATS.

Saint Mary’s vs Indiana Prediction | March Madness Picks and Bracketology

Indiana was already a part of the NCAA Tournament First Four as a result of being seen as one of the “Last Four Teams In”. IU took care of a reeling Wyoming team that lost the game as much or more so than the Hoosiers actually won it. Nonetheless, Mike Woodson has his alma mater in the main bracket in his first year at the helm. However, a two-day turnaround with a long flight from Dayton to Portland in between is far from the ideal scheduling situation.

Where Indiana will have a distinct advantage over West Coast Conference representative Saint Mary’s is in terms of depth. In total, ten different Hoosiers averaged at least 10 minutes per game over the course of the full season. IU’s depth played a key role in the First Four matchup against a Wyoming team that largely only utilizes a six-man rotation. While leading scorer Trayce Jackson-Davis went off for 29 points and nine rebounds, Indiana also got quality minutes and 15 points from Jordan Geronimo among other reserves.

Unfortunately for Indiana, this Saint Mary’s team is completely legit. The Gaels are a senior-laden team and are a force to be reckoned with defensively. KenPom lists Randy Bennett’s squad as a top-10 defensive team that also plays at one of the 25 slowest tempos in all of college basketball. In Matthias Tass, Saint Mary’s has a sound big man to counteract the Hoosiers’ size in the frontcourt. With Tommy Kuhse providing a calming presence at point guard, look for the Gaels to dissect IU thoroughly in this one.

Our college basketball betting Saint Mary’s vs Indiana prediction tonight will be Saint Mary’s -3.5 at BetUS. 

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Saint Mary’s a 57.5% chance to win.

Bet: Saint Mary’s -3.5

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Tags: BracketologyCollege BasketballCollege Basketball BettingIndiana HoosiersMarch MadnessNCAANCAA TournamentSaint Mary's GaelsSports Betting
Henry John

Henry John

Henry John is a multi-sport analyst specializing in motorsports, football, and betting markets. His work focuses on performance trends, strategy, and data-driven insights to better understand outcomes and identify value. With experience producing content across multiple platforms, Henry has written extensively on NASCAR, college football, the NFL, and other major sports, developing structured analysis that goes beyond surface-level recaps. His approach blends statistical evaluation, betting market awareness, and game-level context to break down how and why results happen. Outside of sports, Henry enjoys strength training, outdoor activities, and continuous learning in analytics and performance.

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