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Rays vs Red Sox Prediction, Trends, Starting Pitchers and Betting Odds for MLB Playoffs ALDS Game 4

After a Game 3 thriller that lasted over five hours, the Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox will continue their American League Division Series on Monday night. An incredible 13th-inning sequence helped the Red Sox take a 2-1 series lead. Boston will attempt to finish off the Rays and book their ticket to the ALCS tonight. The MLB betting odds view the Rays vs Red Sox Game 4 showdown as a very even matchup.

This MLB betting preview for Rays vs Red Sox ALDS Game 4 includes game info, projected starting pitchers, betting odds, trends and a prediction for this series-opening matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Preview and Prediction | MLB Playoffs Game 4

ALDS Game 4 (BOS leads 2-1)
Tampa Bay Rays (100-62, 48-33 Away) vs. Boston Red Sox (92-70, 49-32 Home)
Date: Monday, Oct. 11, 2021
Time: 7:07 p.m. EST
Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, MA
Coverage: FS1

Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers

Rays: Collin McHugh (6-1, 1.55 ERA)
Red Sox: Eduardo Rodriguez (13-8, 4.74 ERA)

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

After rallying to tie Game 3 late on a home run by Wander Franco, the Rays ultimately were defeated in a 13-inning thriller. Recall the last time that you saw a hit ball go off the wall before bouncing up off the ground and off an outfielder to go over the wall. That’s exactly what happened on Kevin Kiermaier’s hit to right in the top half of the 13th. After consulting with New York, the umpires ruled it a ground-rule double. This ruling prevented Yandy Diaz from scoring on the play. It will certainly go down as one of the most obscure plays in MLB Postseason history.

The real concern facing Rays manager Kevin Cash in Game 4 is how to navigate the pitching. A total of nine pitchers appeared in the marathon Game 3 for Tampa Bay. Coming right back to play the following night won’t be easy. Reliever Collin McHugh will draw the start, putting the Rays’ “opener” strategy on full display in the postseason. McHugh had solid numbers this year but got knocked around by the Red Sox in a Game 2 relief appearance. If he fails to get through a minimum of two or three innings in tonight’s MLB betting matchup, the Rays could be in serious trouble.

Boston Red Sox Preview

After catching the big-time break in the top half of the 13th, catcher Christian Vazquez became the hero for Boston in Game 4. He crushed a two-run walk-off homer in the bottom half of the inning to propel the Red Sox to a series lead. Both Enrique Hernandez and Kyle Schwarber also went yard and had three hits apiece for the Red Sox in last night’s game. After the bullpen blew a two-run lead late, Nick Pivetta starred in relief during the extra innings. He recorded a whopping seven strikeouts over four innings and prevented the Rays from scratching across a single run.

Thanks to the exceptional performance by Pivetta, the Red Sox pitching situation isn’t quite as dicey as Tampa Bay’s ahead of this Game 4 MLB betting matchup. The starter will be Eduardo Rodriguez. A 13-game winner during the regular season, Rodriguez failed to make it out of the second inning in Game 1 of this ALDS. The Rays jumped on him for two early runs. Rodriguez also struggled to locate, walking two batters in his short outing. Alex Cora will hope for a better showing tonight in the friendly confines of Fenway Park.

Kike Hernandez MLB betting trends Rays vs Red Sox starting pitchers prediction
Credit: AP Photo/Elise Amendola

Rays vs Red Sox MLB Betting Odds

MLB betting odds for Rays vs Red Sox are taken from BetMGM Sportsbook.

Moneyline: TB: (-105) | BOS: (-115)
Run Line:
TB: 11.5 (+145) | BOS: +1.5 (-175)
9.5 — Over: (+100) | Under: (-120)
Public (Spread) Betting
via Action Network: TB: (61%) | BOS: (39%)

Rays vs Red Sox MLB Betting Trends

  • The total has gone under in 10 of the Rays’ last 14 games.
  • Five of the Rays’ last seven road games have gone under the total.
  • Red Sox are 6-1 SU in their last seven games.
  • The total has gone under in eight of the Red Sox’ last 12 games.
  • Four of the last six Rays vs Red Sox head-to-head matchups have gone over the total.

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Rays vs Red Sox Stats

  • Tampa Bay is averaging 5.28 runs per game (RPG) this season (No. 2 in the MLB).
  • Tampa Bay is surrendering 4.07 RPG this season (No. 6 in the MLB).
  • Boston is averaging 5.15 RPG this season (No. 4 in the MLB).
  • Boston is surrendering 4.61 RPG this season (No. 17 in the MLB).

Rays vs Red Sox Weather Report

Status: Clear
Temperature: 62℉
Humidity: 84%
Precipitation: 1%
Wind: 4 MPH (blowing east)

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction

The Rays vs Red Sox MLB betting prediction uses NumberFire’s probability model. They give Tampa Bay a 52.0% chance to win Game 4 of this ALDS matchup.

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