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Quarterback Draft Strategy: When to Wait and When to Pull the Trigger

Photo Credit: Mike Morbeck

Quarterback is the most important position in all of sports, and I’m here to help you learn how to draft it with my Quarterback Draft Strategy. You’ve heard it all before, wait on the quarterback position when drafting. It’s a smart strategy in one QB leagues, and helps you maximize value across your whole roster. Why pay up for Aaron Rodgers or Tom Brady when you can wait until rounds nine or ten to draft Kirk Cousins, Dak Prescott, or Derek Carr and only lose 20 fantasy points on the season? This position is incredibly deep every year to the point where Matt Ryan went mostly undrafted last season, and Philip Rivers is going fairly undrafted this season. Taking one of these players late while stocking up on great running backs and wide receivers is usually the best option.

However, don’t just blindly wait on quarterbacks because experts tell you to or because other owners in your league do so. Everything on draft day comes down to the value you are selecting at each pick, and this is regardless of position. Aaron Rodgers is supposed to be a fourth round pick, but he’s the best QB in fantasy, so he can go all over the board. I’ve seen him go in all rounds one through five, depending on the league and the owners. His current ADP is in the third round though, so if he falls in the fourth or fifth round, should you pull the trigger? Absolutely. If I see Rodgers in the fifth round, I’m grabbing him right away, regardless of thinking that it’s usually better to wait on quarterbacks. If everyone in your league is waiting on the position, chances are everyone will make on a run on quarterbacks in the sixth or seventh round, so you’re not losing any value. The point I’m trying to make is simple, don’t be a slave to what experts say. It’s important to think for yourself, zig when others zag, and take what we say as recommendations.

Of course, everything depends on the format of your league. If your league awards six points per passing touchdown rather than the traditional four, I’d consider going quarterback a round earlier than you planned before. In two QB leagues, you need to be ready to pull the trigger at any point. In this format, once a run on quarterbacks starts, it’ll go fast. If you’re at the turn in your draft, you can’t always afford to wait on the position as many options might not return to you. Even though in two quarterback leagues I don’t go QB until round three or four, you need to be ready to pull the trigger.

To breakdown my summary of how to draft QBs, I’ll break down your options by tier, and discuss when to target players of each tier. I’ll also discuss how taking a backup or even multiple backups can help you.

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