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Phillies vs Astros Prediction, Starting Pitchers and MLB Betting Odds for World Series Game 1

Both the Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies took completely different paths in the playoffs but both find themselves in the World Series. Can the Astros put the finishing touches on a dominating season, or will the Phillies stay hot and finish off one of the most improbable postseason runs of all time?

This MLB betting preview for the World Series Phillies vs Astros Game 1 includes game info, starting pitchers, betting odds, trends and a prediction for tonight’s postseason matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction | World Series Game 1

World Series Game 1
Philadelphia Phillies (87-75, 40-41 Away) vs. Houston Astros (106-56, 55-26 Home)
Date: Friday, Oct. 28, 2022
Time: 8:03 p.m. EST
Venue: Minute Maid Park — Houston, TX
Coverage: FOX

Phillies vs Astros Starting Pitchers

Phillies: Aaron Nola (11-13, 3.25 ERA)
AstrosJustin Verlander (18-4, 1.75 ERA)

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

Even the wildest Phillies fans didn’t expect the Phillies to end up in the World Series. Even more improbable has been the matter in which they’ve done it. Philadelphia’s bats have come alive and have torched three solid pitching staffs so far this postseason. Philadelphia is 9-2 this postseason and have played six of those on the road.

The pitching hasn’t been elite but it has done plenty with the amount of run support they’re getting. They will have their biggest test against an Astros team that still has yet to lose a game this postseason. It’ll be interesting to see how they are able to deal with the hot bats of Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman. If they can limit their production and stay hot, they have a real shot at being world champions.

Houston Astros Preview

Conventional wisdom says that the Houston Astros should be able to mow down the Phillies. Not only were they clearly an elite team all season, but they are also not slowing down in the postseason. Their bats have been somewhat quiet so far this postseason and Jose Altuve went five games without a single hit this postseason. If Altuve and Kyle Tucker can’t find a way to get their bats going, can the rest of the Houston bats pick up the slack enough to beat Philadelphia?

For as good as the Houston Astros pitching staff has been this season, many are interested to see how Justin Verlander does in Game 1. For as dominant as he has been throughout his career, he has a 0-6 record with a 5.68 ERA in seven World Series starts. With how hot the Phillies have been, it’s crucial for Houston to stop them from getting any momentum in this series.

Phillies vs Astros Prediction, Starting Pitchers and MLB Betting Odds for World Series Game 1
Credit: Karen Warren/Houston Chronicle

Phillies vs Astros Odds | MLB Playoffs Predictions

MLB betting odds for Phillies vs Astros are taken from BetOnline Sportsbook.

Moneyline: PHI: (+149) | HOU: (-162)
Run Line: 
PHI: +1.5 (-160) | HOU: -1.5 (+140)
6.5 — Over: (-120) | Under: (+100)
Public (Spread) Betting via Action NetworkPHI: (41%) | HOU: (59%)

Phillies vs Astros MLB Betting Trends

  • The over is 5-2 in Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • Philadelphia is 6-1 straight up in their last seven games.
  • Philadelphia is 2-4 straight up in their last six games against Houston.
  • The under is 5-1 in Houston’s last six games.
  • Houston is 9-0 straight up in their last nine games.

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Phillies vs Astros Stats

  • Philadelphia is averaging 4.61 runs per game (RPG) this season (No. 7 in the MLB).
  • Philadelphia is surrendering 4.23 RPG this season (No. 15 in the MLB).
  • Houston is averaging 4.55 RPG this season (No. 8 in the MLB).
  • Houston is surrendering 3.20 RPG this season (No. 2 in the MLB).

Phillies vs Astros MLB Weather Report

Status: Showers
11 MPH (blowing out to left)

Phillies vs Astros Prediction | World Series Game 1

The Phillies vs Astros prediction uses NumberFire’s probability model. They give Houston a 56.5% chance to win Game 1 of this World Series MLB Playoffs matchup.

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