After a nightmare top of the second inning in which the Philadelphia Phillies scored four runs, this series looked to be going to Philadelphia with the San Diego Padres in a 2-0 hole. Instead, the Padres’ offense came to life and rallied to win Game 2 by a score of 8-5. With the Padres vs Phillies series all tied up and the Phillies now holding home-field advantage, who will take control?
This MLB betting preview for the NLCS MLB Playoffs Padres vs Phillies Game 3 includes game info, starting pitchers, betting odds, trends and a prediction for tonight’s postseason matchup.
San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction | NLCS MLB Playoffs Game 3
NLCS MLB Playoffs Game 3 (Series tied 1-1)
San Diego Padres (89-73, 45-36 Away) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (87-75, 47-34 Home)
Date: Friday, Oct. 21, 2021
Time: 7:37 p.m. EST
Venue: Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, PA
Padres vs Phillies Starting Pitchers
Padres: Joe Musgrove (10-7, 2.93 ERA)
Phillies: Ranger Suarez (10-7, 3.65 ERA)
San Diego Padres Preview
It looked dire for the Padres early on in Game 2. Their defense made multiple mistakes and didn’t help out starter Blake Snell at all. Thanks to a poor outing by Phillies pitcher Aaron Nola, the mistakes didn’t matter in the end. With the series now shifting to Philadelphia, there is even less margin of error for the Padres, they need to clean up their defensive mistakes for Game 3.
The bats came alive in Game 2 and they scored five runs in a huge fifth inning. The Padres would never relinquish the lead again. San Diego had 13 hits and they were able to hit the long ball along with playing “small ball.” Every starter but Trent Grisham had a base hit and with that kind of production, it will be hard for any team to beat San Diego when they’re on.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Phillies have to feel that they let a golden opportunity slip through their fingers. Had they come out on top in Game 2, they could’ve split their next two home games and gone back to San Diego with a 3-1 lead. Instead, this series is still very much alive and the pressure now shifts to the Phillies.
The bats have been good enough through two games for Philadelphia. Seven runs over two games isn’t fantastic, but it has been enough to this point. With Musgrove on the hill in Game 3, it’s important that the Phillies get to him early. With the way the Padres’ bullpen has played so far in the playoffs, they won’t have much offensive success late in games.
Padres vs Phillies Odds | MLB Playoffs Predictions
MLB betting odds for Padres vs Phillies are taken from BetOnline Sportsbook.
Moneyline: SD: (-109) | PHI: (-101)
Run Line: SD: -1.5 (+151) | PHI: +1.5 (-171)
Total: 7.5 — Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)
Public (Spread) Betting via Action Network: SD: (54%) | PHI: (46%)
Padres vs Phillies MLB Betting Trends
- San Diego is 8-4 straight up in their last 12 games.
- The under is 12-5 in San Diego’s last 17 games against Philadelphia.
- The over has hit in eight of San Diego’s last 12 games.
- Philadelphia is 6-2 straight up in their last eight games.
- The under has hit in seven of Philadelphia’s last eight home games against San Diego.
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Padres vs Phillies Stats
- San Diego is averaging 4.35 runs per game (RPG) this season (No. 13 in the MLB).
- San Diego is surrendering 4.07 RPG this season (No. 10 in the MLB).
- Philadelphia is averaging 4.61 RPG this season (No. 7 in the MLB).
- Philadelphia is surrendering 4.23 RPG this season (No. 15 in the MLB).
Padres vs Phillies MLB Weather Report
Wind: 4 MPH (blowing out to left center)
Padres vs Phillies Prediction | NLCS MLB Playoffs Game 3
The Padres vs Phillies prediction uses NumberFire’s probability model. They give Philadelphia a 55.9% chance to win Game 3 of this NLCS MLB Playoffs matchup.
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