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Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Trends, Starting Pitchers and MLB Betting Odds

One of the best rivalries in all of baseball will be renewed on Thursday night when the San Diego Padres open up a four-game set on the road against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The two teams come into the day separated by only 1.5 games for the top spot in the NL West Division. This weekend’s four-game series could very well alter the outlook within the division. Of course, Southern California bragging rights will be on the line as well. Ahead of tonight’s matchup, the MLB betting odds and market trends have installed the home side as a modest favorite. Despite this, the majority of public bets are siding with the underdog as their Padres vs Dodgers prediction.

The following article takes a closer look at this Padres vs Dodgers MLB betting matchup, including the top betting odds, key stats and trends, the projected starting pitchers and an official game prediction. But first, let’s take a look at this special welcome offer from BetOnline Sportsbook.


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Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, MLB Betting Odds and Game Info

MLB Regular Season Game
San Diego Padres (46-31, 25-15 Away) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (46-28, 20-12 Home)
Date: Thursday, June 30, 2022
Start Time: 10:10 p.m. EST
Venue: Dodger Stadium — Los Angeles, CA

Freddie Freeman Padres vs Dodgers prediction starting pitchers MLB betting trends odds picks
Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers

Padres: Joe Musgrove (8-1 Record, 2.12 ERA)
Dodgers: Mitchell White (1-1 Record, 4.25 ERA)

Padres vs Dodgers MLB Betting Game Preview

San Diego Padres Preview

Each of the Padres’ last nine games coming into the day have all been played against the same two teams. San Diego swept Arizona in a mid-week series before losing three of four to Philadelphia at home this past weekend. A brief two-game series in Phoenix this week resulted in a split. The Padres earned a shutout victory in yesterday’s contest. One of the big storylines to monitor for tonight’s Padres vs Dodgers prediction is the availability of Manny Machado. San Diego’s best offensive weapon has not played since June 19th due to an ankle injury.

As for the Padres’ starting pitcher, veteran right-hander Joe Musgrove will be on the bump to begin Thursday’s game. Although he gave up six runs including two homers in his latest start, Musgrove has been one of the best and most consistent pitchers in baseball so far this season. He has lost but a single start and has a sub-1.00 WHIP on the year. Musgrove’s efforts to date have him priced among the MLB betting frontrunners to win the NL Cy Young Award.

Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

The Dodgers just completed a nine-game road trip yesterday. After sweeping Cincinnati and taking two of three from Atlanta to begin the trip, L.A. managed to salvage the finale of a three-game set at Colorado. Despite losing the first two games of the series against the Rockies, the Dodgers continue to lead the highly-competitive NL West Division. Entering this crucial four-game MLB betting series, Los Angeles holds a 1.5-game lead over San Diego in the division standings.

Of course, one of the swirling rumors surrounding the Dodgers presently is that offseason acquisition Freddie Freeman may be regretting his decision to leave Atlanta. It certainly hasn’t been affecting his play as Freeman carries an active 13-game hitting streak into Thursday’s contest. Meanwhile, on the mound to start tonight’s matchup for the Dodgers will be Mitchell White. The 27-year-old began the season in the bullpen and was only shuffled into L.A.’s starting rotation about a month ago. His first few outings as a starter have been shaky, to say the least.

Padres vs Dodgers MLB Betting Odds

MLB betting odds for Padres vs Dodgers are taken from BetOnline Sportsbook.

Moneyline: SD: (+119) | LAD: (-129)
Run Line: SD: +1.5 (-180) | LAD: -1.5 (+160)
Total: 8 — Over: (+105) | Under: (-125)
Public Betting Percentages via Action Network: SD: (62%) | LAD: (38%)

  • Padres are 8-2 straight up in their last ten games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game.
  • The UNDER is 6-1 in the Padres’ last seven games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game.
  • The UNDER is 6-1-2 in the Dodgers’ last nine games against NL West Division teams.
  • In the Dodgers’ last 17 games with an MLB betting total set between 7.0-8.5 runs, the UNDER is 13-3-1.
  • Four of the last five Padres vs Dodgers head-to-head matchups played in Los Angeles have gone OVER the total.

Padres vs Dodgers Stats

  • San Diego is averaging 4.64 runs per game (RPG) this season (No. 10 in the MLB).
  • San Diego is surrendering 3.77 RPG this season (No. 4 in the MLB).
  • Los Angeles is averaging 5.08 RPG this season (No. 1 in the MLB).
  • Los Angeles is surrendering 3.34 RPG this season (No. 2 in the MLB).

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction | MLB Betting Picks

On paper, San Diego appears to have a massive advantage as far as the Padres vs Dodgers starting pitchers for tonight’s game. However, bettors are wise to not dismiss Mitch White entirely. After all, a number of Padres players have never faced White head-to-head previously. Thus, there will be a level of unfamiliarity at play.

The other interesting caveat as far as White making the start tonight is that his only perfect outing of the season to date actually came against the Padres. The former Second Round draft pick came out of the bullpen and retired the side in order in a matchup between the teams back on April 23rd. Two of the three outs in that inning came via strikeout.

When one glances at the current public ticket counts for this Padres vs Dodgers prediction, what quickly jumps out is that the popular picks run contrarian to the market line move. Indeed, 62% of all moneyline bets are in favor of the Padres as a road underdog. Despite this, the MLB betting odds have shifted in the Dodgers’ favor across the market after L.A. opened around -120 on the moneyline.

Although laying BetOnline Sportsbook’s current Dodgers moneyline price of -129 is hardly a bad bet, laying 1.5 runs at +160 is easily preferred. After all, when Los Angeles wins, they almost always do so by multiple runs. MLB betting trends note that 42 of the Dodgers’ 46 wins (91%) this season have come by two runs or more.

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction: Dodgers -1.5 (+160 at BetOnline Sportsbook)


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