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NFL Playoff Picture for the AFC Going Into Week 17

There are now just two weeks left in the NFL regular season and the AFC playoff picture is really starting to take shape. Week 16 saw some changes at the top of two divisions and a major upset that resulted in one team dropping out of the playoff picture. Only one spot has been clinched and 12 teams are all vying for the last six seats at the table.

Andy Reid NFL Playoffs Week 17 Kansas City Chiefs AFC
Credit: USA TODAY Sports/Getty Images

NFL Playoff Picture | AFC

NFL Playoff percentages provided by FiveThirtyEight

#1 Kansas City Chiefs (11-4) 1st in AFC West

  • Clinched AFC West
  • 74% chance to earn one seed
  • Remaining games:  @CIN, @DEN

#2 Tennesee Titans (10-5) 1st in AFC South

  • 97% chance to make the playoffs
  • 89% chance to win division
  • 22% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: MIA, @HOU

#3 Cincinnati Bengals (9-6) 1st in AFC North

  • 80% chance to make the playoffs
  • 72% chance to win the division
  • 3% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: KC, @CLE

#4 Buffalo Bills (9-6) 1st AFC East

  • 98% chance to make the playoffs
  • 88% chance to win the division
  • .2% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: ATL, NYJ

#5 Indianapolis Colts (9-6) 2nd AFC South

  • 97% chance to make the playoffs
  • 11% chance to win the division
  • 1% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: LV, @JAX

#6 New England Patriots (9-6) 2nd in AFC East

  • 94% chance to make the playoffs
  • 10% chance to win the division
  • .4% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: JAX, @MIA

#7 Miami Dolphins (8-7) 3rd in AFC East

  • 32% chance to make the playoffs
  • .5% chance to win the division
  • Remaining games: @TEN, NE

Out of NFL Playoffs if They Started Today

Baltimore Ravens (8-7)

Remaining games: LAR, PIT

Los Angeles Chargers (8-7)

Remaining games: DEN, @LV

Las Vegas Raiders (8-7)

Remaining games: @IND, LAC

Pittsburgh Steelers (7-7-1)

Remaining games: CLE, @BAL

Cleveland Browns (7-8)

Remaining games: @PIT, CIN

Denver Broncos (7-8)

Remaining games: @LAC, KC

Maybe Next Year

New York Jets

Houston Texans

Jacksonville Jaguars

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