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NFL Playoff Picture for the AFC Going Into Week 15

After 14 weeks, we have a tight battle throughout the AFC in the NFL playoff picture. Now that all the bye weeks are out of the way every team, plays from here on out. There have been some surprises in the AFC NFL playoffs race this year, but the usual suspects are still towards the top.

With this in mind, let’s take a look at the NFL playoff picture for the AFC going into Week 15 of the regular season. Included with each team is their playoff probabilities.

new england patriots nfl playoff picture week 15
Credit: Steven Senne/AP Photo

NFL Playoff Picture | AFC

#1 New England Patriots (9-4) 1st in AFC East

  • 98% chance to make the playoffs
  • 80% chance to win division
  • 47% chance to earn the 1 seed
  • Remaining games: @IND, BUF, JAX, @MIA

#2 Tennesee Titans (9-4) 1st in AFC South

  • 99% chance to make the playoffs
  • 96% chance to win the division
  • 24% chance to earn the 1 seed
  • Remaining games: @PIT, SF, MIA, @HOU

#3 Kansas City Chiefs (9-4) 1st in AFC West

  • 95% chance to make the playoffs
  • 60% chance to win the division
  • 19% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: @LAC, PIT, @CIN, @DEN

#4 Baltimore Ravens (8-5) 1st in AFC North

  • 74% chance to make the playoffs
  • 53% chance to win the division
  • 2% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: GB, @CIN, LAR, PIT


#5 Los Angeles Chargers (8-5) 2nd in AFC West

  • 86% chance to make the playoffs
  • 36% chance to win the division
  • 8% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: KC, @HOU, DEN, @LV

#6 Indianapolis Colts (7-6) 2nd AFC South

  • 67% chance to make the playoffs
  • 4% chance to win the division
  • 0.4% chance to earn one seed
  • Remaining games: NE, @ARI, LV, @JAX

#7 Buffalo Bills (7-6) 2nd AFC East

  • 66% chance to make the playoffs
  • 20% chance to win the division
  • 0.2% chance to earn one seed
  • Remaining games: CAR, @NE, ATL, NYJ

Out of NFL Playoffs If They Started Today

Cleveland Browns (7-6)

Remaining games: @LV, @GB, @PIT, CIN

Cincinnati Bengals (7-6)

Remaining games: @DEN, BAL, KC, @CLE

Denver Broncos (7-6)

Remaining games: CIN, @LV, @LAC, KC

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-6-1)

Remaining games: TEN, @KC, CLE, @BAL

Las Vegas Raiders (6-7)

Remaining games: CLE, DEN, @IND, LAC

Miami Dolphins (6-7)

Remaining games: NYJ, @NO, @TEN, NE

Maybe Next Year

New York Jets

Houston Texans

Jacksonville Jaguars


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