FlurrySports shares NASCAR betting picks and props for the Cracker Barrel 400 at Nashville Superspeedway this weekend, including Joey Logano.
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NASCAR’s concrete wars resume this Sunday night as the Cup Series rolls into Nashville Superspeedway for the Cracker Barrel 400. With no direct comparison track on the schedule and five different winners in each of the previous Cup Series races here, finding outright value is a challenge. Props and matchup bets offer a more surgical approach to attacking one of the more wide-open races on the schedule.
With that in mind, here are our NASCAR betting picks and props to target for the 2026 Cracker Barrel 400.
Cracker Barrel 400 NASCAR Race Info
Cracker Barrel 400
Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
Start Time: 7 p.m. EST
Coverage: Amazon Prime Video
Distance: 400 miles (300 laps)
Stages: Three (90 laps, 95 laps, 115 laps)
Pole Sitter: TBD
Defending Champion: Ryan Blaney
NASCAR Betting Picks and Predictions | Cracker Barrel 400
The NASCAR betting odds and props discussed below are taken from BetUS Sportsbook.
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2026 NASCAR Betting Props Column Results to Date
16-12 record across six races covered
Overall Units Gained/Lost: +16.25 ($100 bettor is up $1,625)
Note: Calculations assume basic one-unit wagers for all bets.
Group C Matchup: Joey Logano (+425)
Also in Group: William Byron (+170), Chase Elliott (+170), Chris Buescher (+450)
The market is clearly not buying what Joey Logano is selling in 2026, and for most of the season that skepticism has been warranted. However, Nashville is a different conversation entirely.
Logano won this race in 2024 and followed it up with a fourth-place finish last year. He has posted a top-10 finish in four of his five Cup Series starts at the track and ranks fourth in average finish among active drivers in the Next Gen era here. Furthermore, Team Penske has won each of the last two Nashville races, suggesting that whatever intermediate oval struggles the organization has endured this year may not carry over to this concrete surface.
The two favorites in Group C, William Byron and Chase Elliott, are admittedly both capable of winning any race they enter. However, neither Hendrick Motorsports car has been running up to its typical standard over the last couple weeks, and Charlotte last week did little to inspire confidence in either. Meanwhile, fellow group long shot Chris Buescher has only one finish better than 14th in five Nashville starts — making him the easiest fade in the group.
Logano showed genuine signs of life with an eighth-place run at Charlotte, his best result in some time. He also finished top-5 on the concrete at Bristol earlier this year. At +425 against a group where the chalk carries recent momentum concerns, the payout more than justifies the risk. A 6-1 shot on the No. 22 to be the top finishing Ford is also a reasonable option.
Head-to-Head Matchup: Carson Hocevar (+125) vs. Ross Chastain
Ross Chastain’s Nashville résumé is impressive on the surface — top-5 finishes in each of the first three Cup Series races held here, including a victory in 2023. That track record has him inflated in the NASCAR betting picks market across the board this week. The problem is that the last two editions of this race tell a different story.
Last year specifically, Chastain started fifth, hung on for a tenth-place Stage 1 result, never led a lap, and finished 11th. Much like Trackhouse Racing’s overall trends, he appears to have come back to the pack at this track.
Carson Hocevar is a worthwhile opponent at plus money. The concrete surface suits his driving style — he finished tenth at Bristol earlier this season and overcame multiple issues to cross the line 14th at Dover during the All-Star Race weekend. His Nashville history is also encouraging despite limited sample size. Starting 26th on the grid last year, Hocevar crossed the line second and was comfortably inside the top 10 by the end of Stage 2.
The recent pit road miscues of the No. 77 team continued at Charlotte are a legitimate concern. However, at +125 odds against a driver who has struggled mightily in 2026, the price is right.
Head-to-Head Matchup: Bubba Wallace (+120) vs. Ross Chastain
Consider this the second installment of fading Ross Chastain with our NASCAR betting picks this week. As Brendan Gaughan and Jeff Motley of the Gone Racin’ podcast would say, we’re betting the “don’t line” on the No. 1 car. The same regression narrative applies — a strong early track record here has inflated his market price beyond what his recent results at this venue and current season form justify.
The case for Bubba Wallace is straightforward. He has finished inside the top 10 in each of the last two Nashville races and top 15 in four consecutive starts here. More broadly, getting a legitimate Toyota at plus money against a struggling Chevrolet team in 2026 is a position worth taking.
The 23XI cars have had genuine speed all season — Wallace has simply been unable to translate it into results consistently of late. Charlotte last week is a prime example, where right front damage from a crash compromised what looked like a promising night. With Chastain’s inflated Nashville reputation doing the heavy lifting on the odds, Wallace at +120 is the preferred side.
Group E Matchup: Alex Bowman (+225)
Also in Group: Corey Heim (+225), Zane Smith (+275), Daniel Suarez (+325)
Alex Bowman’s Nashville track record is modest — two 14th-place finishes represent his best results in five Cup starts here. That said, this play is less about track-specific history and more about the surface and team pedigree. Dover is probably the most comparable track on the schedule to Nashville, and it stands among Bowman’s strongest statistical venues. A concrete surface at speed is where the No. 48 tends to show up.
Co-favorite Corey Heim has crashed out of both previous Cup starts at Nashville and never won here at the Truck Series level despite dominating that series overall. Zane Smith figures owns finishes of second and 13th in two prior Nashville starts. The talent is clearly there, but no statistical metric beyond raw finishing results makes him stand out. Daniel Suarez is coming off the emotional Coca-Cola 600 victory, though his Nashville history mirrors Bowman’s closely — mostly mid-teens finishes that don’t inspire excessive confidence.
Overall, getting a Hendrick car at +225 in a NASCAR betting picks group of this caliber is not a bad position to be in. When the field breaks down this evenly, take the driver backed by the powerhouse organization.
Group F Matchup: Erik Jones (+200)
Also in Group: Ryan Preece (+225), Josh Berry (+275), Connor Zilisch (+400)
The only thing that undid our group matchup play on Erik Jones a week ago was Suarez’s two-tire strategy. Alas, we are jumping back in on the No. 43 Toyota this week at a track where he has been solid overall. In the last four Nashville races, Jones has scored a pair of top-10 finishes and an additional 11th-place result.
Looking at the rest of his NASCAR betting picks competitors in Group F, none can claim that degree of consistency on this unique concrete surface. Ryan Preece managed a fourth-place result here two years ago but was 16th or worse in his other two starts. Josh Berry hasn’t sniffed the top-20 in his two Cup starts and this marks the first attempt at this level for rookie Connor Zilisch.
Track stats aside, Jones also has the edge when it comes to momentum. Dating back to Texas and including the NASCAR All-Star Race at the somewhat comparable Dover Motor Speedway, Jones has finished 12th, third and 13th in the last three oval races. Legacy Motor Club may not be on par with Joe Gibbs and 23XI, but the Toyota angle can be applied to a lesser extent here as well.
