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Murray State vs San Francisco Prediction, Bracketology and Pick for College Basketball NCAA Tournament

In a First Round NCAA Tournament game, the 7-seed Murray State Racers will face off with the 10-seed San Francisco Dons in the East Region. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting odds, picks, bracketology, betting trends and KenPom Rankings, then give our Murray State vs San Francisco prediction for the game today. 

Murray State vs San Francisco | NCAA Tournament Bracketology

2022 NCAA Tournament
No. 7 Murray State Racers (30-2) vs. No. 10 San Francisco Dons (24-9)
Date: Thursday, March 17, 2022
Time: 9:40 PM EST
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse — Indianapolis, IN
Coverage: CBS

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Murray State vs San Francisco College Basketball Betting Picks and Odds

All college basketball betting odds for Murray State vs San Francisco can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: MUR: N/A | USF: N/A
Point Spread: MUR: -1.5 (-110) | USF: +1.5 (-110)
Total: 137 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)


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Jamaree Bouyea Murray State vs San Francisco prediction NCAA Tournament bracketology college basketball picks
Credit: USF Athletics

KenPom Rankings | Bracketology

KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com

TeamRkAdjOAdjDAdjT
Murray StateNo. 27111.5 (No. 35)95.1 (No. 40)65.8 (No. 246)
San FranciscoNo. 21110.8 (No. 45)92.4 (No. 19)68.7 (No. 89)
  • Racers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
  • Racers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss.
  • In their last five games against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better, the Racers have gone 4-1 ATS.
  • Dons are just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS win.
  • Each of the Dons’ last four games following a straight up loss has gone OVER the total.
  • The UNDER is 7-1-1 in the Dons’ last nine neutral site games.

Murray State vs San Francisco Prediction | March Madness Picks and Bracketology

This marks the first time since 1998 that San Francisco has qualified for the NCAA Tournament. Back in the day, USF was winning national championships with the likes of Bill Russell. Now, the Dons pose a significant challenge in the form of an uber-talented backcourt. Jamaree Bouyea and Khalil Shabazz are both excellent and experienced players. The Dons have no qualms with firing away from beyond the three-point arc. Each of their top two guards shot 35% or better from three this season.

Then, there’s Murray State. The Racers lost all of two games this season and have not dropped a single contest since a December 22nd loss at Auburn. Murray State rolled through a perfect Ohio Valley Conference season and earned every bit of the respect granted to them by the selection committee as a 7-seed. K.J. Williams leads the Racers in scoring, rebounding and steals.

When determining our Murray State vs San Francsico college basketball picks, noting the stark contrast in these team’s tempos is key. While the Dons averaged the 89th-quickest pace in Division I, Murray State failed to live up to their “Racers” nickname. One would tend to believe that the pace of this NCAA Tournament matchup will land somewhere in the middle of what each team averaged this season.

It’s great that USF relies so heavily on the three-point shot, but this also leaves the Dons prone to more misses and empty possessions. Considering that both teams also bring top-40 defensive efficiency rankings to the table, we have several signs pointing towards a low-scoring contest.

Our college basketball betting Murray State vs San Francisco prediction tonight will be Under 137 total points at BetUS

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Murray State a 52.8% chance to win.


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