Arizona Cardinals (3-5-1, 2-2 Away) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-6, 0-3 Home)
Time: 1:00 pm EST
Date: Sunday, Nov. 10, 2019
Kyler Murray has a great matchup, as the Buccaneers are allowing 28.9 fantasy points per game to QBs in the last five games. Murray proved last week against the 49ers that he can perform in tough situations, so I am expecting a huge week when given a much easier matchup.
Although the Buccaneers are only allowing 19.8 points per game to RBs in the last five games, David Johnson and Kenyan Drake can be playable this week. The Buccaneers run defense has shown weakness these last two weeks, allowing Derrick Henry and Chris Carson both to have solid games, and for a game with expecting high scores, Drake and Johnson will both get enough work to return solid fantasy production.
The Bucs’ pass defense has been bad, very bad, and by no means is that changing this week. In the last five weeks, Tampa has given up an average of 53.1 fantasy points to opposing WR groups. That can only mean one thing for the group of Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk and maybe KeeSean Johnson in deep leagues: start, start, start. All three WRs have been given above 30% matchup advantages on PFF’s matchup charts, and they should all see a great volume of work. In a heavy bye week, a game that is set up to be a shootout helps out a lot in helping to fill out rosters in the so called “bye-pocalypse.”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
By having the top two fantasy WRs in PPR scoring, you would think that the QB of this team would at least be in top-5, but again, Jameis Winston proves us wrong and throws multiple interceptions per game. Even with the turnovers, he is still a solid streaming option at the position, but this week he will be a top-end option. In the last five games, the Cardinals are allowing 29.7 fantasy points per game to the QB position, and now they go against one of the pass-heaviest teams in the league. In the last three games, Winston has had games with passing attempts of 54, 43 and 44, which alone should generate solid fantasy production regardless of the defensive matchup. If Jimmy Garoppolo put up 32.07 fantasy points in the run first-offense of the 49ers, then I believe Winston will be just fine.
Mike Evans and Chris Godwin have fantastic matchups this week, with the Cardinals allowing 42.8 fantasy points per game to WRs over the past five games. Both receivers have been given solid matchup advantages, Mike Evans (35%) and Chris Godwin (14%), against an average, at best, secondary in the Cardinals. These guys are auto starting anyways, but the overall landscape of this game makes for yet again a solid week for these top tier guys.
At this point, we know the Cardinals defense is one of the worst in terms of points allowed to the TE position, so does that mean O.J. Howard is finally going to bounce back? I am not going to say that he is guaranteed to bounce back, but I am just going to highlight his juicy matchup this week. In the last five weeks, the Cardinals are allowing the fourth-most points to the TE position, at 17.6 per game, and have allowed solid performances to “quality”TEs, like Austin Hooper and George Kittle. The bounce-back matchup is being placed in front of Howard, so we will see if he can bring back hope to his owners this week.
Finally, Ronald Jones takes over the starting role for this backfield and he has earned every right to be the starter, and it couldn’t have come on a better week. The Cardinals, in the last five games, are siting in the middle of the pack in terms of points allowed to the RB position. The matchup isn’t amazing by any means, but due to the high projected score and projected fast pace nature of the game, Jones is a solid RB2 this week, which happens to be a heavy bye week.