With your fantasy football draft right around the corner, smart fantasy managers are already doing their research. Among the most complicated position group in fantasy football are tight ends. Due to a lack of depth at the position, many fantasy owners are drafting the proven talent at the position too early. As of now, the Darren Waller fantasy football average draft position (ADP) shows he is going too early in drafts.
The Darren Waller fantasy football ADP is taken from Fantasy Football Calculator for 12-team PPR leagues. Let’s take a look at why he is a bit overvalued right now.
Other Overvalued TEs: Dawson Knox & Pat Freiermuth
Darren Waller Fantasy Football Outlook
Waller’s Fantasy ADP: 4.08
Because there is not much parity at the tight end position, it makes sense why a big name like Darren Waller is going late in the fourth round of fantasy football drafts. Obviously, the threat to the Darren Waller fantasy football success is the Raiders’ addition of Davante Adams. Adams is the best receiver in the NFL and a top-15 player in the league. That addition alone hurts Waller’s fantasy production. Waller has had a target share of 24% or more throughout the last three seasons, which is sure to drop, considering that Adams and Derek Carr were college teammates.
Outside of Adams, Waller is coming off of a significant injury. He played 11 games last season, totaling 665 yards and only two touchdowns. The emergence of Hunter Renfrow last season is also something to watch for, in terms of Waller’s target share.
Though the TE position is thin for fantasy football, other players who are being drafted at the end of the fourth round and early in the fifth round include Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson, Michael Thomas, Chris Godwin and Damien Harris. With better fantasy options being available, it makes more sense to let your leaguemate deal with the headache that will be Waller this season and take someone else in your fantasy football draft.
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