FlurrySports gives picks and NASCAR betting odds for the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
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As is tradition on Memorial Day Weekend, the NASCAR Cup Series is scheduled to run its longest race distance of the season on Sunday night. First contested in 1960, the Coca-Cola 600 is a grueling test of both driver and equipment stamina. It also serves as the perfect nightcap following the spectacle that is the Indianapolis 500 earlier in the day.
When it comes to handicapping this crown jewel race, a combination of both historical stats at Charlotte Motor Speedway as well as current season form on 1.5-mile ovals serve as focal points. With a quad-oval configuration and 24 degrees of banking in the turns, Charlotte most closely resembles Texas of the tracks that the Cup Series has already visited in 2026.
This marks the 20-year anniversary of Charlotte’s last full surface repave. Thus, it stands to reason that tire falloff has become more significant here in recent years. With the race beginning before sundown, track conditions will shift considerably as temperatures drop and grip levels change. Drivers and teams must be capable of adapting to an evolving surface as the night wears on.
Below, we break down the NASCAR betting odds to win the Coca-Cola 600 — including our picks from favorites to long shots worth a closer look.
Coca-Cola 600 NASCAR Race at Charlotte Motor Speedway
Coca-Cola 600
Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
Start Time: 6 p.m. EST
Coverage: Amazon Prime Video
Distance: 600 miles (400 laps)
Stages: Four (100 laps each)
Pole Sitter: TBD
Defending Champion: Ross Chastain
Coca-Cola 600 NASCAR Betting Odds to Win
In recent years, the Coca-Cola 600 has had a wide variety of outright winners. While the top teams in NASCAR have notably shown through, four different drivers have won the event in the Next Gen Car. Furthermore, Martin Truex Jr. is the only driver to win this race more than once dating all the way back to 2012.
Denny Hamlin, the winner of the 2022 Coca-Cola 600, slots in as the betting favorite for this year’s race. He comes in with plenty of momentum after winning the NASCAR All-Star Race in dominant fashion last weekend and +400 odds imply a 20% win probability. Tyler Reddick and Kyle Larson are the closest to him at 6-1 odds which imply a 14.3% chance.
While no single driver has dominated this race, Joe Gibbs Racing as an organization has won four of the last eight editions. Christopher Bell was the most recent winner for JGR and he checks in fifth on the NASCAR betting odds board this week.
2023 winner Ryan Blaney is priced at 12-1 and is by far the top choice from the Ford camp. The next closest Mustang to him is Chris Buescher at 20-1. Meanwhile, defending race winner Ross Chastain is viewed as a long shot this year at 35-1.
The table below lists the latest pre-qualifying odds for the full field.
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NASCAR betting odds for the All-Star Race are taken from BetUS Sportsbook.
| Driver | Odds to Win | Coca-Cola 600 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | +400 | Corey Heim | +10000 |
| Tyler Reddick | +600 | Erik Jones | +10000 |
| Kyle Larson | +600 | Daniel Suarez | +12500 |
| William Byron | +700 | Austin Dillon | +20000 |
| Christopher Bell | +800 | Josh Berry | +20000 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1200 | AJ Allmendinger | +20000 |
| Chase Elliott | +1200 | Michael McDowell | +25000 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1400 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +25000 |
| Chase Briscoe | +1600 | Shane van Gisbergen | +30000 |
| Carson Hocevar | +1800 | Zane Smith | +30000 |
| Chris Buescher | +2000 | Noah Gragson | +30000 |
| Bubba Wallace | +2000 | John Hunter Nemechek | +30000 |
| Brad Keselowski | +2200 | Riley Herbst | +40000 |
| Alex Bowman | +3000 | Todd Gilliland | +50000 |
| Joey Logano | +3500 | Cole Custer | +50000 |
| Ross Chastain | +3500 | Ty Dillon | +60000 |
| Kyle Busch | +3500 | Cody Ware | +100000 |
| Connor Zilisch | +5000 | Timmy Hill | +100000 |
| Ryan Preece | +6600 | Katherine Legge | +100000 |
| Austin Cindric | +6600 |
NASCAR Betting Picks and Predictions: Who Will Win the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway?
2026 NASCAR Outright Betting Column Results to Date
5 winners correctly picked across 11 races covered
Overall Units Gained/Lost: +24.25 ($100 bettor is up $2,425)
Favorites: -0.75 units
Value Picks: +14 units
Longshots: +16 units
Note: Calculations assume basic one-unit wagers for all bets.
Favorite: Tyler Reddick (+600)
Bypassing Denny Hamlin as the NASCAR betting favorite is not an easy decision given how impressive he has been in 2026 but the +400 point of entry prices him out. Tyler Reddick sits right alongside Hamlin as one of the top two drivers in the sport this season and represents the better value at 6-1.
Reddick has never won at Charlotte in seven career starts, but he has finished inside the top-10 five times including consecutive top-5s in 2023 and 2024. On other 1.5-mile ovals this season, he won at Kansas and finished fourth at Texas.
Charlotte’s aging surface has opened up multiple grooves with speed, which suits Reddick’s willingness to run the high line. Since the inception of the Next Gen Car, he ranks third in both average running position (10.25) and average driver rating (101.975) spanning across the last four races.
Value Pick: Chase Elliott (+1200)
Chase Elliott checks in as the third Hendrick Motorsports car in the NASCAR betting odds this week despite already posting two wins in 2026. One of those victories came in the most recent 1.5-mile oval race at Texas. His Charlotte stats over the years would seem to suggest another strong run is in store this weekend.
Over his last ten races at Charlotte, Elliott owns a 10.3 average finish. Remove a pair of DNFs in 2022 and 2023 and that number drops to an eye-catching 4.5 across the remaining eight starts. He finished seventh and sixth in the last two editions of the Coca-Cola 600. In general, he profiles exceptionally well on fast speedway tracks like Charlotte.
At 12-1 odds, Elliott represents outstanding value relative to his HMS peers on the odds board. It would be fair if the market penalized Hendrick drivers across the board for being a step behind Toyota so far this season. However, intermediate oval tracks have been a strength of the organization. Given this context, the fact that he lags behind Kyle Larson and William Byron in terms of price point this week is inexplicable.
Sleeper Value: Ty Gibbs (+1400)
Across three Cup Series starts on the Charlotte oval, Ty Gibbs leaves a lot to be desired in terms of results given his Joe Gibbs Racing equipment. His best finish is sixth and it is paired alongside two finishes outside the top-20. However, his underlying numbers paint a much more interesting picture.
Among the four Charlotte races contested in the Next Gen era, Gibbs ranks fifth in average running position at 11th, sixth in average laps led with 80 total, and seventh in average laps run inside the top-15. He has consistently run with the leaders here without the finishes to show for it.
JGR as an organization has won four of the last eight Coca-Cola 600s, and Gibbs checked off his first career Cup Series win earlier this season. Fifth at Las Vegas and ninth at Kansas in the two intermediate oval races where he finished running further reinforce the case. Adding another Toyota to the card at this price point, backed by strong process stats and a manufacturer that has largely dictated terms in 2026, makes sense.
Long Shot Hopeful: Brad Keselowski (+2200)
Ryan Blaney may be the runaway Ford choice according to the NASCAR betting market, but RFK Racing has been the far more consistent organization in terms of intermediate oval performance this year. Brad Keselowski specifically has put together a quietly impressive stretch at Charlotte — his average finish of 8.7 over the last three races at the track ranks third among all drivers.
It must be noted that Keselowski has achieved that three-race mark from an average starting position of 22.7. Getting to the front from deep in the field has become something of a specialty as the No. 6 team has struggled to achieve positive grid positions. However, a better qualifying effort this weekend would go a long way towards legitimizing his outright winner potential.
Meanwhile, Keselowski’s broader intermediate oval results this season further support this pick — he was 10th at Las Vegas in the spring, sixth at Kansas and 13th at Texas. He is a former Coca-Cola 600 winner (2020) and has back-to-back top-5 finishes in this race the last two years with RFK.
