After both teams earned hard-fought victories in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Green Bay Packers will meet in the NFC Championship for a rematch.
Here’s the NFL Betting preview and Buccaneers vs Packers prediction for the NFC Championship, including odds, betting trends, start time and props.
NFL Odds, NFL Picks, and NFL Props | Buccaneers vs Packers
Buccaneers vs Packers Game Info
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5, 6-2 Away) vs. Green Bay Packers (13-3, 7-1 Home)
Date: Sunday, Jan. 24, 2021
Time: 3:05 p.m. EST
Venue: Lambeau Field — Green Bay, WI
Coverage: FOX
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Buccaneers vs Packers NFL Odds + NFL Picks
All NFL betting lines and odds are available on Bovada Sportsbook.
Moneyline: TB: (+170) | GB: (-200)
Spread: TB: +3.5 (-105) | GB: -3.5 (-115)
Total: 52 – Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages: TB: (20%) | GB: (80%)
Odds to Win Super Bowl LV: TB: (+400) | GB: (+200)
Buccaneers vs Packers NFL Playoffs Overview
These are two very different teams than we saw meet in Week 6 down in Tampa Bay, though the first meeting is still worth noting. The Packers jumped out to an early 10-0 lead entering the second quarter. Then, a pick-six thrown by Aaron Rodgers unraveled everything. Green Bay would fail to score again, losing 38-10.
Since then, Antonio Brown has made his impression on the Buccaneers offense, finally finding a groove. However, he will be inactive, due to a knee injury. While he is out, Tampa surprisingly gets tough run stopper Vita Vea back from IR. He was a big reason why Tampa’s run defense was so stout early on, and his return is welcomed in this matchup. Offensively, Tom Brady is no stranger to the cold. Though, some of his playmakers are. With no Brown on the field and Mike Evans likely getting locked up by Jaire Alexander again, Chris Godwin and Rob Gronkowski will need to make their presence known, as will the running game.
Rodgers and the Packers offense is clicking on all cylinders. Facing the league’s top defense last week, the offense put up 32 points with ease and the offensive line dominated the Los Angeles Rams’ front at the point of attack. This allowed Aaron Jones to run for 99 yards, and it kept Rodgers off the grass. In the first meeting against Tampa, Jones ran for only 15 yards on 10 carries. If the Packers offensive line continues their dominance, that will be a major difference maker. Defensively, the Packers have held opponents under 20 points in five of their last six games.
Rams vs Packers NFL Betting Trends
- The Packers are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last three matchups against Tampa Bay.
- The total has hit the over in four of the last six games between the Buccaneers and Packers.
- The Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
- The Buccaneers are 7-0 straight up in their last seven road games.
- The Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
- The Packers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played in January.
- The total has hit the over in each of the Packers’ last eight January games.
Rams vs Packers Stats
- Tampa Bay is averaging 30.7 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 2 in the NFL).
- Tampa Bay is surrendering 22.1 PPG this season (T-No. 7 in the NFL).
- Green Bay is averaging 31.8 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 1 in the NFL).
- Green Bay is surrendering 22.8 PPG this season (No. 12 in the NFL).
Monkey Knife Fight NFL Playoffs Props | Buccaneers vs Packers
Monkey Knife Fight is a DFS site unlike DraftKings or FanDuel. Instead, the contests feature props to play, with varying multipliers for each contest. Unlike the aforementioned sites, you are only competing with yourself when making NFL picks on MKF, and you do not need to worry about annoying salary caps.
Monkey Knife Fight has several great NFL props for the entire NFL Playoffs. Here is one in particular that I like for the Buccaneers vs Packers.
It will be tough for the Packers to run against the Buccaneers consistently. However, they will be able to pass, since Green Bay has done such a great job at protecting Rodgers. Conversely, the best shot the Tampa has to win is by pounding the rock. This leads to Rodgers passing for more than Brady.
While Mike Evans is getting 17.5 yards here, Davante Adams will still win this matchup with ease. Evans has never played a game under 30 degrees, while Adams thrives in cold temperatures. Evans gets matched up against Jaire Alexander. When these teams met in Week 6, Evans had one catch for 10 yards. It was Adams’ first game back from injury and he wasn’t 100 percent. Yet, he finished with 61 yards in a game where Rodgers struggled.
Predicting this prop correctly earns you 3x your buy-in on Monkey Knife Fight this weekend!
Buccaneers vs Packers Prediction | NFC Championship
Cold and a chance of snow at Lambeau Field in January? This will be a fun game to watch.
While the Buccaneers got a win over a well-round New Orleans Saints team last week, Tampa’s offense was by no means dominant. In fact, they were below average. The Packers defense is not as good as the Saints’, but they have played better, have a pass rush and a true lock down cornerback. Can an inconsistent running game, Godwin and Gronkowski do enough to win this game? I don’t think so.
The Packers’ offense is doing absolutely anything they please, and it’s because of the offensive line. Tampa’s defense depends on getting pressure on the quarterback. Rodgers was under pressure nine plays last week and eight times the game prior. Those were against the Rams and Chicago Bears, respectively, who are scarier than the Buccaneers.
Rodgers will have time to throw yet again, the Packers will continue to score and Brady’s tantrums will not be enough to ignite the Tampa offense.
Buccaneers vs Packers Prediction
Final Score Prediction: Packers 31, Buccaneers 24
Betting Picks: Packers -3.5, Over 52 at Bovada Sportsbook)
