The 2021 Fall Classic has made it to deep waters. After the Houston Astros were able to rally and stave off elimination in Game 5, they are now set to host tonight’s MLB World Series Game 6 at their home ballpark. It is another must-win for Houston as they try to force a decisive Game 7. On the opposite side of the diamond, the Atlanta Braves will take another crack at capturing the franchise’s first championship since 1995. Game 6 of the World Series has it all, from high stakes to an intriguing matchup of starting pitchers. The MLB betting odds give the home team a slight edge in tonight’s Braves vs Astros showdown.
This MLB betting preview for Braves vs Astros World Series Game 6 includes game info, projected starting pitchers, betting odds, trends and a prediction for Tuesday’s matchup.
Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros Betting Preview and Prediction | MLB World Series Game 6
World Series Game 6 (ATL leads series 3-2)
Atlanta Braves (88-73, 46-35 Away) vs. Houston Astros (95-67, 51-30 Home)
Date: Tuesday, Nov. 2, 2021
Time: 8:09 p.m. EST
Venue: Minute Maid Park — Houston, TX
Astros vs Braves Starting Pitchers
Braves: Max Fried (14-7, 3.04 ERA)
Astros: Luis Garcia (11-8, 3.80 ERA)
Atlanta Braves Preview
Truist Park was rocking following a first-inning grand slam by Adam Duvall on Sunday night. That blast spotted the Braves a 4-0 lead in a potential World Series-clinching Game 5. A potential Atlanta championship celebration was unfortunately put on hold as the Braves’ pitching faltered over the next few innings. Due to Charlie Morton being knocked out of Game 1 with a broken fibula, Game 5 marked the second straight in which Brian Snitker was forced to cobble together a full nine innings from the bullpen. Even the reliable A.J. Minter got knocked around in the fifth following a Freddie Freeman homer that gave the Braves their second lead of the evening. While Atlanta failed to capture the title in front of their home fans, they are arguably in a much better position as far as pitching goes as the MLB betting series shifts back to Houston.
In a nod to the Braves having the upper hand on the mound, left-hander Max Fried will make his second start of the World Series in Game 6 tonight. Snitker and the Braves will hope that he can bounce back after a shaky Game 2 outing. Fried, who was Atlanta’s most reliable starter all season, surrendered six runs on seven hits while pitching five innings. It was the second straight start in which the southpaw got knocked around. He also allowed five runs in Game 5 of the NLCS against the Dodgers. Should he hold steady tonight, Atlanta will have three of their best bullpen weapons rested and ready behind him. Tyler Matzek, Luke Jackson and Will Smith all went unused in Sunday’s loss.
Houston Astros Preview
The Astros certainly displayed plenty of fight and resilience in their Game 5 comeback win on Sunday night. With their backs against the wall after falling down big early, Houston made quick work of erasing the early four-run deficit. Dusty Baker made a few changes to the batting order ahead of the must-win road game and they paid off in a big way. Alex Bregman got the Astros started with an RBI double in the second inning after being dropped to seventh in the order. The two players who moved up, Carlos Correa and Yuli Gurriel, each finished with three hits apiece in Game 5. Correa drove in a pair of runs while catcher Martin Maldonado also came up with a pair of timely at-bats to drive in three total runs on the night. Houston’s offense is simply too good to remain dormant over an entire MLB betting series.
Baker will turn to Luis Garcia as his Game 6 starting pitcher tonight. Unlike Fried for Atlanta, the right-handed Garcia will be starting on short rest. He worked Game 3 of the World Series, but the Astros were forced to burn Game 2 starter Jose Urquidy on Sunday. Garcia wasn’t too bad last Friday in Atlanta. He allowed just one run and struck out six while pitching into the fourth inning. He did struggle with command, however, and four walks were a big reason why Baker pulled him so early. The Astros are in dire straights when it comes to the bullpen, so a quality start from Garcia tonight would be very much welcomed. Phil Maton and Kendall Graveman each had to work two innings in Game 5. With the day off for travel, both are probably okay to go in tonight’s MLB betting contest.
Braves vs Astros MLB Betting Odds
Moneyline: ATL: (+100) | HOU: (-120)
Run Line: ATL: +1.5 (-190) | HOU: -1.5 (+155)
Total: 9 — Over: (+100) | Under: (-120)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages via Action Network: ATL: (42%) | HOU: (58%)
Braves vs Astros MLB Betting Trends
- Braves are 10-4 straight up in their last 14 games.
- The total has gone under in four of the Braves’ last six games.
- Astros are 7-2 straight up in their last nine home games.
- 12 of the Astros’ last 18 games have gone over the total.
- Ten of the last 15 Braves vs Astros head-to-head matchups have gone under the total.
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Braves vs Astros Stats
- Atlanta is averaging 4.82 runs per game (RPG) this season (No. 9 in the MLB).
- Atlanta is surrendering 4.03 RPG this season (No. 5 in the MLB).
- Houston is averaging 5.37 RPG this season (No. 1 in the MLB).
- Houston is surrendering 4.08 RPG this season (T-No. 6 in the MLB).
Braves vs Astros Weather Report
Note: This game will be played indoors.
Braves vs Astros Prediction
The Astros vs Braves MLB betting prediction uses NumberFire’s probability model. They give Houston a 52.0% chance to win Game 6 of this World Series matchup.