The 2022 NASCAR Cup Series season continues in the Midwest this weekend at Kansas Speedway with the AdventHealth 400. This marks the first of two visits that the series will pay the 1.5-mile oval this year. It also marks the final points-paying race before NASCAR’s annual All-Star Weekend and festivities. With a dozen races now completed in the Next Gen Car, some drivers and teams have begun to separate themselves from a performance standpoint. The AdventHealth 400 NASCAR betting odds largely reflect this ongoing trend. That being said, there is still plenty of value on the board and worthwhile NASCAR picks to consider.
The following column serves the sole purpose of preparing bettors to make some money wagering on the 13th NASCAR Cup Series race of the season. Read on for the NASCAR betting odds to win the AdventHealth 400 along with the best picks and props for Sunday’s race at Kansas Speedway.
AdventHealth 400 NASCAR Race Info
12th Annual NASCAR Cup Series AdventHealth 400
Date: Sunday, May 15, 2022
Start Time: 3 p.m. EST
Distance: 400.5 miles
Stages: Three (Laps 1-80; Laps 81-160; Laps 161-267)
Pole Sitter: TBD
Defending Champion: Kyle Busch
Food City Dirt Race NASCAR Betting Odds
Refer to the table below which lists the outright odds to win the NASCAR Cup Series AdventHealth 400. NASCAR betting odds for the top 30 drivers are included.
AdventHealth 400 NASCAR betting odds are taken from Bovada Sportsbook.
|Driver||Odds to Win|
|Martin Truex Jr.||+1000|
|Ricky Stenhouse Jr.||+8000|
AdventHealth 400 NASCAR Picks and Predictions
Race Winner: Chase Elliott (+800)
One week after scoring his first win of the season at Dover, Chase Elliott crashed during practice at Darlington. The necessary switch to a backup car sent Elliott to the rear for Sunday’s race. He still rallied to score a top-5 finish. Elliott doesn’t sit atop the NASCAR points standings by accident. He has been the most consistent driver all season with nine top-10 finishes. One would have to go all the way back to Richmond (six races ago) to find the last time the No. 9 car was not among the top-10 finishers.
With Atlanta becoming a pseudo superspeedway, this week’s AdventHealth 400 is really only the second true 1.5-mile oval that NASCAR has run this season. Hendrick Motorsports dominated on the intermediate ovals last year. That dominance appeared to continue at Las Vegas earlier this spring when HMS had the winning car and three of the top-5 finishers.
With Hendrick Motorsports expected to again be the class of the field on Sunday, it really comes down to betting value. Elliott’s NASCAR betting odds to win this week are simply more appealing than those of HMS teammate and race favorite, Kyle Larson (+550). That being said, Elliott’s stats at Kansas Speedway aren’t too shabby either. He counts a win, two runner-ups and a half-dozen top-6 finishes among his last seven results.
Other AdventHealth 400 NASCAR Betting Picks and Props
Top 5 Finish: William Byron (+115)
After he was on the wrong end of a dramatic finish to last week’s race at Darlington, William Byron will be seeking redemption in the AdventHealth 400. In eight previous NASCAR Cup Series starts at Kansas, Byron has a modest average finish of 16.1. That average hardly does his recent stats at the track justice.
Dating back to the fall race in 2019, Byron has found himself among the top-10 finishers in every NASCAR betting event held at Kansas, a span of five races. Few other drivers can claim that kind of consistency. Byron has one previous top-5 and was also sixth here last fall.
Once again, the strength of Hendrick Motorsports on the intermediate 1.5-mile ovals is worth noting. Byron has two wins and four top-5 finishes already this year. One of those came at Las Vegas. The No. 24 has been one of the fastest cars on track more often than not this season. A +115 NASCAR picks price is solid value considering everything Byron has going for him.
Top 10 Finish: Christopher Bell (-105)
Depending on where one shops in the NASCAR betting market, they are apt to find drastically different price points on Christopher Bell to finish top-10 this week. At the time of writing this column, Bell’s top-10 odds are juiced as high as -225 at one sportsbook. Compared to most shops, the -105 NASCAR odds at Bovada are quite favorable.
Bell has quietly been one of the most consistent drivers in recent weeks. Dating back to COTA, he has finished top-10 in five of seven races. This includes each of the last two weeks. Bell came in fourth at Dover and followed it up with a sixth-place showing at Darlington.
Momentum is huge in NASCAR, like pretty much any other sport. Bell certainly comes rolling into Kansas with plenty of it, as does Toyota as a whole after a slow start to the season. Bell also has two previous top-10 finishes in just four career Cup Series starts at Kansas and an Xfinity Series win back in 2017.
Race Matchup: Aric Almirola (+115) vs Erik Jones
It’s admittedly a bit difficult to understand the lopsided NASCAR betting odds for this driver head-to-head. Aric Almirola and Erik Jones have had very similar seasons thus far. Although Jones has been finishing better recently, the results are hardly enough to justify him being a -150 favorite this weekend.
Both Almirola and Jones have recorded a single top-5 result and four total top-10s so far in 2022. One of Almirola’s top-10 showings actually came at a comparable 1.5-mile oval in Las Vegas. He also just missed on adding a fifth much result last week coming home 11th at Darlington.
Of the two, Jones does own a better average finish (15.7) than Almirola (17.8) in the last ten NASCAR Cup Series races at Kansas. However, keep in mind that most of Jones’ strong showings came while driving for a powerhouse team in Joe Gibbs Racing. He failed to finish better than 25th in either race last year with what is now Petty GMS Motorsports.
Winning Team: Hendrick Motorsports (+185)
A couple of our previous NASCAR betting picks for the AdventHealth 400 have favored Hendrick Motorsports. Given how well the entire organization has been running in recent weeks, HMS is the deserving favorite to be the winning race team on Sunday. However, one could argue that there is value to be had in the +185 NASCAR odds.
Through 13 races, all four of the Hendrick Motorsports drivers have visited victory lane. William Byron has done so twice while Alex Bowman, Chase Elliott and Kyle Larson have one win apiece. HMS was also the class of the NASCAR Cup Series on 1.5-mile oval tracks a year ago. That theme only continued at Las Vegas earlier this season.
As time has gone on, HMS has also appeared to be figuring out the new Next Gen Car faster than any other powerhouse team. Until another team or manufacturer can take it to Hendrick Motorsports on an intermediate track like Kansas, it’s hard to envision the AdventHealth 400 winner coming from any other garage.