The San Diego State Aztecs and UAB Blazers will face off in the first round of the 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament. SDSU enters March Madness as a 5-seed out of the Mountain West after making the conference championship game but falling to New Mexico. UAB secured the auto-bid out of the American with three double-digit wins including an 85-69 victory over Temple in the conference tournament championship. Below, we will preview this NCAA Tournament college basketball game, giving a San Diego State vs UAB prediction using trends, data and analysis.
Which school will win and keep their hopes of winning the championship trophy alive?
San Diego State vs UAB Prediction and March Madness Expert Picks
2024 NCAA Tournament
No. 5 San Diego State (24-10) vs. No. 12 UAB (23-11)
Date: Friday, March 22, 2024
Time: 1:45 PM EST
Venue: Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena — Spokane, WA
Coverage: TNT
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San Diego State vs UAB March Madness Odds
All college basketball betting odds for San Diego State vs UAB can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.
Moneyline: SDSU: (-275) | UAB: (+225)
Point Spread: SDSU: -6.5 (-110) | UAB: +6.5 (-110)
Total: Over: 139.5 (-110) | Under: 139.5 (-110)
KenPom Rankings | Bracketology
KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com
| Team | Rk | AdjO | AdjD | AdjT |
| San Diego St | 21 | 113.5 (62) | 93.8 (9) | 66 (266) |
| UAB | 106 | 113.7 (59) | 107.4 (202) | 67.8 (153) |
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San Diego State vs UAB College Basketball Trends
- San Diego State is 9-2 in non-conference college basketball games this season.
- UAB is 7-5 in non-conference college basketball games this season.
- San Diego State is 13-19 against the spread this year.
- UAB is 20-12-1 against the spread this year.
- San Diego State made the Final Four last season.
- The OVER is 9-3 in UAB’s non-conference games this year.
San Diego State vs UAB Prediction | March Madness Expert Picks
This year’s SDSU basketball team plays a similar brand of basketball to the one that reached the Final Four last season. They are physical, rebound well, get most of their points inside the arc, and play great defense. This year, however, they are led by forward Jaedon Ledee, rather than the backcourt that did much of the scoring last season. Ledee averages over 21 points and eight rebounds. He also was just named a Third-Team All-American.
In the last month of the regular season, UAB suffered a Quad-4 loss at Rice, a Quad-3 home loss to Wichita State, and allowed 106 points to a mediocre Memphis team. Then, they found their stride in the AAC Tournament, winning all three of their games by double digits. The Blazers score the ball at a fairly efficient rate with four players averaging over 10. Interestingly, they are one of the best offensive and worst defensive rebounding teams in the nation.
When I look at this game, I see the Aztecs being able to neutralize UAB’s offensive rebounding, while punishing them on the glass on the other end. San Diego State will be too physical, strong, solid defensively, and UAB will have no answer for Ledee. For our San Diego State vs UAB prediction, we are picking the San Diego State Aztecs to win and move on in the NCAA Tournament.
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