After an absolutely wild last week of football, we begin another one tonight on Thursday Night Football. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will take on the Philadelphia Eagles. While the Bucs are clear NFL betting favorites tonight, there are many other props and game bets to put money on. Below, we have a same game parlay for the game tonight, with odds taken from BetMGM Sportsbook.
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Buccaneers vs Eagles Same Game Parlay | TNF NFL Betting
+900 Odds | $10 to Win $100
Halftime/End Result: Buccaneers/Buccaneers
Currently, the Buccaneers are favored to win this game by seven points. To find a middle ground between taking a risky spread or the favorite’s moneyline, we will take the NFL betting favorite (Tampa) to lead at halftime and win the game.
The Buccaneers have averaged 15.8 first-half points this season (No. 4 in the NFL), while the Eagles have averaged 8.8 (No. 23 in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, Tampa has allowed 11.4 first-half points (No. 19 in the NFL), while Philadelphia has allowed 13.8 (No. 25 in the NFL). The Buccaneers are clearly the better team top to bottom. They should jump out to a lead and keep it.
Tom Brady 250+ Passing Yards
Tom Brady has played some terrific football on Thursday nights. In fact, it has been his most effective time slot as a passer, as he is averaging 8.0 yards per attempt. This season Brady has been averaging 45 passing attempts per game. So, if he keeps up this current pace for both yards per attempt on Thursday and his passing attempts for the season, it would equal roughly 360 yards tonight. Of course, no one should project Brady for 360 yards, but it shows he has a ton of upside in this spot.
The Eagles are also not as solid as their scoring defensive stats make them sound. They have allowed the seventh-highest completion percentage in the league, at 68.99%. Obviously, this is arguably their toughest test thus far, and Brady should take advantage in prime time, as he usually does.
Cameron Brate 10+ Receiving Yards
With no Rob Gronkowski tonight, Cameron Brate will operate as the TE1. However, he did play less snaps than O.J. Howard last week. Even if this continues, he still caught a pass for 12 yards last game. He has double-digit receiving yards in three straight games, with 5+ targets in two of his past three games.
O.J. Howard 9+ Receiving Yards
Howard has not been a major part of the game plan. However, his snaps have gone with up with Gronkowski out. Howard has played 65% and 59% of the snaps these past two weeks. He is also coming off a game in which he saw three targets, catching two for 19 yards. Over the course of Howard’s career, he has averaged 15.2 yards per reception, with no single season below 12.8 yards per reception, which is this season. In other words, Howard may only need one catch to hit the over.
Ronald Jones 10+ Rushing Yards
It’s no secret that Ronald Jones has fully lost the lead job to Leonard Fournette. However, we shouldn’t pretend that he’s not involved. Jones has carried the ball at least five times in each of the past four games. It has resulted in double-digit yards in every game, including 20+ rushing yards in three of these four games.
With the Eagles allowing 4.3 yards per carry, five rushes should be more than enough for this NFL betting prop to hit.
Zach Ertz Over 29.5 Receiving Yards
With no Dallas Goedert tonight, Zach Ertz becomes the clear TE1 once again. That has somewhat already been the case, with Ertz recording a 14.6% target share compared to Goedert’s 11.1%. It should mean a couple more targets for him in what projects to be another pass-heavy game for Philadelphia.
Ertz has gone over this prop line in three of his five games this season, and he has 50-plus yards in two of his past three games. The Buccaneers allow 64 yards receiving per game to tight ends this season.
Miles Sanders 20+ Receiving Yards
Teams shouldn’t even both running against the Buccaneers this season. They have been the stingiest run defense in the league, allowing only 2.9 yards per carry. The Dolphins understood this last week, which is why we saw Myles Gaskin catch 10 balls.
While Miles Sanders isn’t getting the carries he should get this season, he is involved in the passing game a bit. He has seen 3.8 targets per game, which he has turned into an average of 22.2 receiving yards. Sanders has totaled 28+ receiving yards in three of his five games this season.
With the Buccaneers allowing over 60 receiving yards to running backs per game this season, Sanders should be able to hit the Over on this prop.
