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chicago bears playoff chances scenarios betting odds

Bears Playoff Chances, Scenarios and Betting Odds Week 16

Zach Brunner by Zach Brunner
December 17, 2025
in Betting, NFL
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FlurrySports takes a look at the Chicago Bears’ playoff chances, betting odds and playoff scenarios heading into NFL Week 16.


We are heading into the final three weeks of the regular season, and most of the NFL Playoff spots are all but locked up. However, we will see many shifts in the overall standings and seeding. The Chicago Bears look to be comfortably in the playoffs, but we have seen Chicago shoot themselves in the foot before. So, we could still see some craziness in the NFC playoff picture.

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Let’s discuss the Chicago Bears’ playoff chances, betting odds and the Bears’ playoff scenarios heading into NFL Week 16.

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If you believe in Chicago, now is the time to bet on the Bears’ playoff odds. Heading into Week 16, they sit at 10-4. The Bears’ odds to make the playoffs are -375. This means a $37.50 bet would win $10 if Chicago makes the NFL Playoffs. However, if you think the Bears will miss out, the odds for this are sitting at +285.

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NFL Playoff Picture | NFC Playoff Standings

The NFC Playoff Picture has a bunch of moving parts, with several teams still legitimately in the mix to make the postseason. While the route to the playoff is through winning the division for some teams, the Detroit Lions are a team who does still have a chance to make the playoffs through the Wild Card or winnings the division.

Atop the NFC is the Los Angeles Rams, at 11-3. However, things get crazier from there. The Chicago Bears are second, at 10-4, while the Green Bay Packers are 9-4-1. They play each other this week, and this will have major playoff implications. At a comfortable third seed, the Philadelphia Eagles are 9-5 and have a big lead in the NFC East. The fourth seed, however, is fully up in the air. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers currently have it (7-7), but the Carolina Panthers have the same record and are hoping to steal the NFC South.

The other two NFC Wild Card teams come from the NFC West. The Seattle Seahawks have no worries, sitting at 11-3. The San Francisco 49ers have a 10-4 record, and they would clinch a playoff berth with another win.

Let’s take a look at the NFC Playoff picture. Remember, the top seven teams in the AFC Playoff standings are in, and winning the division rewards the team with a top-four seed.

  1. Los Angeles Rams (11-3)*
  2. Chicago Bears (10-4)
  3. Philadelphia Eagles (9-5)
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7)
  5. Seattle Seahawks (11-3)
  6. San Francisco 49ers (10-4)
  7. Green Bay Packers (9-4-1)

*Clinched the NFL Playoffs

Others in NFL Playoff Race
  • Detroit Lions (8-6)
  • Carolina Panthers (7-7)
  • Dallas Cowboys (6-7-1)
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Bears Playoffs Chances | Bears Playoff Scenarios

The Chicago Bears’ playoff chances are looking great heading into Week 16. Before Week 16 kicks off, The Athletic NFL Playoff Simulator gives the Bears an 84% chance to make the playoffs, given their 10-4 record and the tiebreakers they possess. The ESPN Power Index views the Bears’ odds to make the playoffs a bit less favorably, at 75.3%.

At the end of the day, the Chicago Bears’ playoff scenarios are very simple. They will clinch the playoffs with two more wins regardless of what the Detroit Lions do. However, they would also clinch the postseason with a win of their own and a loss from the Lions. If Chicago splits the next two games while Detroit wins theirs, then their Week 18 matchup against each other could be for a playoff spot.

This weekend, the NFL’s oldest rivarly will take the stage once again, with the Packers traveling to the Bears. The winner of this game will have a major leg up in the division, and winning the division means hosting a playoff game. Clearly, a playoff game in Chicago would be a great advantage to have.

Chicago Bears Remaining Schedule | Can the Bears Make the Playoffs?

Can the Bears make the playoffs? Absolutely, yes! In fact, if the postseason started today, they would be in!

Of all the teams in the NFC North competing for a playoff spot, the Chicago Bears’ schedule is the toughest. This week, they will face off against the Green Bay Packers on Saturday night. In Week 17, the Bears take the road to face the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday Night Football.

If they win those two games, the only worry left will be seeding. However, if the Bears lose one of those two games, the Week 18 matchup against the Detroit Lions could be a “win and you’re in” scenario.

Given the season Chicago has had, it would be a major disappointment for their playoff hopes to come down to one final game. However, as discussed above, the Bears’ playoff chances do look likely. You can bet on the Bears’ playoff odds in either direction ahead of this weekend’s matchup.


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Tags: Chicago BearsNFLNFL BettingNFL PlayoffsSports Betting
Zach Brunner

Zach Brunner

I am a simple Wisconsin man: I love beer and sports. I decided to create FlurrySports because I was sick of the politics and non-stories that the fat cat corporations put out. When you see football articles from me, just know that I combine my knowledge from playing, coaching, athletic training, and sports management/economic courses to give you a unique, but I feel well-rounded point of view. I am always down to talk about anything, so follow me on Twitter @FantasyFlurry if you decide you want more of me!

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