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Xavier vs Texas Prediction and Sweet 16 March Madness Expert Picks

In a Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament game, the (3) Xavier Musketeers will face off with the (2) Texas Longhorns in the Midwest Region. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting odds, March Madness expert picks, betting trends and KenPom Rankings, then share our official Xavier vs Texas prediction for the March Madness Sweet 16 matchup.

Xavier vs Texas Prediction and Sweet 16 March Madness Expert Picks

2023 NCAA Tournament – Sweet 16
No. 3 Xavier Musketeers (27-9) vs No. 2 Texas Longhorns (28-8)
Date: Friday, March 24, 2023
Time: 9:45 P.M. EST
Venue: T-Mobile Center — Kansas City, MO
Coverage: CBS

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Xavier vs Texas March Madness Betting Odds

All college basketball betting odds for Xavier vs Texas can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: XAV: (+150) | TEX: (-175)
Point Spread: XAV: +4 (-110) | TEX: -4 (-110)
Total: 149 — OVER: (-110) | UNDER: (-110)

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KenPom Rankings | Bracketology

KenPom Rankings are from

TeamAdjEM (Rk)AdjO (Rk)AdjD (Rk)AdjT (Rk)
Xavier+20.08 (15)118.6 (7)98.5 (62)70.4 (33)
Texas+24.69 (5)116.4 (15)91.7 (10)68.7 (100)
  • Xavier is 19-16-1 against the spread (ATS) this season.
  • Texas is 18-18 ATS this season.
  • The OVER is 22-13-1 for Xavier this season.
  • The OVER is 16-17-3 for Texas this season.

Xavier vs Texas Prediction | Sweet 16 March Madness Expert Picks and Bracketology

Xavier has had one of the best offenses all year, which is something that we expect from a Sean Miller-coached team. The only problem with that is Texas has one of the best defenses in the country and Xavier will not be able to score at will. The Longhorns have held their last six opponents to under 70 points, including only allowing 46 points to Oklahoma State. That run also contained two wins over Kansas.

Texas has also found success getting to the free throw line recently. Xavier on the other hand has been increasing in fouls per game throughout the tournament. If Texas can continuously attack the paint, Xavier may be in foul trouble early. If it comes down to free throws at the end, I want Texas. With how unpredictable this tournament has been, I think the safe bet is to go with Xavier +4 here. Even though Texas is a better team, Xavier can keep it close with their dynamic scoring ability.

Our official college basketball betting Xavier vs Texas prediction will be Xavier covering +4 at BetUS

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Texas a 69.7% chance to win.

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