The UConn Huskies and San Diego State Aztecs will face off in the Sweet 16 of the 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament. UConn continued its dominance in the second round of March Madness, taking down Northwestern, 75-58. San Diego State took care of business in a favorable matchup against Yale, cruising to an 85-57 win. With the Aztecs posting one of the most dominant performances of the tournament last round, it could be difficult to make a UConn vs San Diego State prediction.

Below, we will preview this Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament college basketball game, providing data, trends and analysis. Which school will win and keep their hopes of winning the championship trophy alive?

UConn vs San Diego State Prediction and Sweet 16 March Madness Picks

2024 NCAA Tournament – Sweet 16
No. 1 UConn Huskies (33-3) vs. No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs (26-10)
Date: Thursday, March 28, 2024
Time: 7:39 PM EST
Venue: TD Garden — Boston, MA
Coverage: TBS/TruTV

Watch the NCAA Tournament on Paramount+

UConn vs San Diego State March Madness Odds

All college basketball betting odds for UConn vs San Diego State can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: UCONN: (-625) | SDSU: (+475)
Point Spread: UCONN: -11 (-110) | SDSU: +11 (-110)
Total: 135.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

KenPom Rankings | Bracketology

KenPom Rankings are from

UConn1126.4 (2)93.5 (8)64.9 (315)
SDSU17113.9 (53)93.5 (9)66.1 (266)
  • UConn is 12-1 in non-conference college basketball games.
  • San Diego State is 11-2 in non-conference college basketball games. 
  • UConn is 24-12 against the spread this year. 
  • San Diego State is 14-20 against the spread this year. 
  • UConn has won their last 11 postseason games, 10 by double digits. 
  • San Diego State is seeking their fourth Elite Eight appearance in program history.

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UConn vs San Diego State Prediction | March Madness Sweet 16 Picks

This rematch of last year’s National Championship game poses a similar outlook to that game. UConn is one of the most efficient teams in the country on both ends and San Diego State relies on their stout defense to win them games. The one main difference is that Aztec forward Jaedon LeDee has emerged as a true superstar and one of the best players in college basketball. Last year, San Diego State relied on defense and their backcourt to score enough points to win them games. This year, they have LeDee averaging almost 22 a game and carrying most of the offensive load.

For UConn, it’s more of the same as what we’ve seen the last 12 months. A juggernaut on both ends that excels in just about every area of the game. Their backcourt of Tristen Newton and Cam Spencer provides shooting, playmaking and rebounding. Stephon Castle and Alex Karaban complement each other perfectly on the wing with their blend of athleticism, shooting, slashing, and defense. To piece it all together, center Donovan Clingan is a dominant force around the rim and one of the most impactful two-way players in the sport.

If San Diego State is going to pull off this upset, they are quite simply going to need UConn to not be at their A-game. The Aztecs are a great defensive team, but UConn is arguably even better on that end. What San Diego State can not do is keep up with the Huskies if they are firing on all cylinders offensively. From what we’ve seen in their recent postseason performances, there’s no reason to believe that UConn’s offense will slow down now.  For our Sweet 16 UConn vs San Diego State prediction, we are picking the UConn Huskies to win and move on in the NCAA Tournament.

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NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Schedule

Thursday, March 28th

Arizona vs Clemson (7:09 PM EST)

UConn vs San Diego State (7:39 PM)

North Carolina vs Alabama (9:39 PM)

Iowa State vs Illinois (10:09 PM)

Friday, March 29th

Marquette vs NC State (7:09 PM EST)

Purdue vs Gonzaga (7:39 PM)

Houston vs Duke (9:39 PM)

Tennessee vs Creighton (10:09 PM)

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