In a First Round NCAA Tournament game, the 3-seed Texas Tech Red Raiders will face off with the 14-seed Montana State Bobcats in the West Region. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting odds, picks, bracketology, betting trends and KenPom Rankings, then give our Texas Tech vs Montana State prediction for the game today.
Texas Tech vs Montana State | NCAA Tournament Bracketology
2022 NCAA Tournament
No. 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders (25-9) vs. No. 14 Montana State Bobcats (27-7)
Date: Friday, March 18, 2022
Time: 1:45 PM EST
Venue: Viejas Arena — San Diego, CA
Coverage: TNT
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Texas Tech vs Montana State College Basketball Betting Picks and Odds
All college basketball betting odds for Texas Tech vs Montana State can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.
Moneyline: TTU: (-1640) | MSU: (+940)
Point Spread: TTU: -15 (-110) | MSU: +15 (-110)
Total: 132.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
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KenPom Rankings | Bracketology
KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com
| Team | Rk | AdjO | AdjD | AdjT |
| Texas Tech | No. 9 | 109.7 (No. 65) | 85.1 (No. 1) | 66.5 (No. 211) |
| Montana State | No. 125 | 104.5 (No. 147) | 100.7 (No. 129) | 67.3 (No. 157) |
Texas Tech vs Montana State College Basketball Betting Trends
- Red Raiders are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss.
- The total has gone UNDER in five of the Red Raiders’ last six neutral site games as a favorite.
- Red Raiders are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
- Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games.
- Eight of the Bobcats’ last nine games following a straight up win have gone OVER the total.
- Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better.
Texas Tech vs Montana State Prediction | March Madness Picks and Bracketology
Texas Tech hardly skipped a beat in the wake of coach Chris Beard departing for Texas last offseason. Mark Adams did a fantastic job in his first season at the helm. From a defensive standpoint, the Red Raiders ranked at or near the top of Division I in adjusted efficiency all season long. Senior Bryson Williams led the team in scoring this season averaging 13.7 points per game.
For Montana State, Xavier Bishop led the production offensively with 13.9 points and 4.3 assists per game. Unfortunately, he could be in for a long March Madness contest given that he is undersized at 5’8″. While the Bobcats did well to get back to the Big Dance for the first time since 1996, the level of competition they faced in the Big Sky this season comes nowhere close to the challenge presented by Texas Tech.
With this in mind, bettors can approach this game with the anticipation that the Red Raiders’ defense will show out. Neither team plays at a breakneck tempo either. Unless Montana State can somehow exceed expectations as far as solving Tech’s defense, 55 points might be their absolute ceiling. Dabbling with such a large point spread could be dangerous, so betting the total under is the next best way to bet on the strength of Texas Tech.
Our college basketball betting Texas Tech vs Montana State prediction tonight will be the point total going UNDER at BetUS.
For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Texas Tech a 95.4% chance to win.
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