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TCU vs Arizona State Prediction and NCAA Tournament March Madness Expert Picks

In a First Round NCAA Tournament game, the 6-seed TCU Horned Frogs will face off with the 11-seed Arizona State Sun Devils in the West Region. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting odds, March Madness expert picks, betting trends and KenPom Rankings, then share our official TCU vs Arizona State prediction for the First Round matchup. 

TCU vs Arizona State Prediction and March Madness Expert Picks

2023 NCAA Tournament First Round
No. 6 TCU Horned Frogs (21-12) vs. No. 11 Arizona State Sun Devils (23-12)
Date: Friday, March 17, 2023
Time: 10:05 PM EST
Venue: Ball Arena — Denver, CO
Coverage: truTV

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TCU vs Arizona State March Madness Betting Odds

All college basketball betting odds for TCU vs Arizona State can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: TCU: (-235) | ASU: (+195)
Point Spread: TCU: -5.5 (-110) | ASU: +5.5 (-110)
Total: 141.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

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KenPom Rankings | Bracketology

KenPom Rankings are from

TeamOverall AdjEM (Rk)AdjO (Rk)AdjD (Rk)AdjT (Rk)
TCU+18.01 (27)112.3 (54)94.3 (21)69.8 (49)
Arizona State+13.74 (52)109.2 (101)95.5 (30)68.4 (131)
  • Horned Frogs are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss.
  • Each of the Horned Frogs’ last four games has stayed UNDER the total.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Horned Frogs’ last six games against Pac-12 opponents.
  • Sun Devils are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win.
  • Sun Devils are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a betting underdog.
  • Four. of the Sun Devils’ last five games against Big 12 opponents have gone OVER the total.

TCU vs Arizona State Prediction | March Madness Expert Picks and Bracketology

Arizona State will be playing its second game of the NCAA Tournament on Friday after beating Nevada in a First Four matchup. In that contest, the Sun Devils put forth one of their best offensive performances of the entire season. ASU scored 53 points in the first half alone and finished with 98 for the game. Such is life when a team shoots over 62% from the field and 52% from 3-point range.

Bobby Hurley’s team figures to be in for a bit more defensive resistance in Friday’s matchup against TCU. The Horned Frogs have proven to be particularly skilled at defending the perimeter and finished the year ranked 20th in 3-point percentage defense.

From a personnel standpoint, the guard play in this game figures to be top-notch. Mike Miles Jr. and Damion Baugh are the offensive leaders for TCU and are not ones to shy away from pushing the pace. For Arizona State, DJ Horned and brothers Desmond and Devan Cambridge are all solid 3-point shooters and happy to play fast in transition.

While both teams have been statistically sound at the defensive end this season, a quick pace combined with several scoring guards bodes well for the Over to hit. The fact that several books across the market are starting to shift in that direction only reinforces the decision to buy in on the favorable number at BetUS.

Our official college basketball betting TCU vs Arizona State prediction will be OVER 141.5 at BetUS

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives TCU a 68.1% chance to win.

Bet: OVER 141.5 (-110 at BetUS Sportsbook)

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