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Suns vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Props and NBA Betting Preview

It’s the final week of the NBA betting regular season and Tuesday night is an action-packed affair. Among the 11 games on tap is a key Western Conference matchup between the Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors. Both teams are sitting in a good position as far as qualifying for the postseason. However, ensuring the best seed possible is still at the forefront of each squad’s respective goals coming down the stretch. The NBA odds have sided with the visitors as modest favorites for a pre-game Suns vs Warriors prediction.

Suns vs Warriors Game Info

Phoenix Suns (48-20, 22-11 Away) at Golden State Warriors (36-33, 22-11 Home)
Tuesday, May 11, 2021
Start Time: 10 p.m. EST
Venue: Chase Center — San Francisco, CA
Coverage: NBC Sports Bay Area, Bally Sports AZ, NBA League Pass

Stephen Curry Suns vs Warriors prediction NBA betting odds trends
Credit: Rob Carr/Getty Imagges

Suns vs Warriors NBA Betting Odds

Moneyline: PHX: (-200) | GSW: (+170)
Spread: PHX: -5 (-110) | GSW: +5 (-110)
Total: 230 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Suns vs Warriors NBA Betting Overview

Suns Outlook

Many in the NBA betting community believed the Suns were among the teams who would show marked improvement this season. However, it’s fair to wonder if anyone had Phoenix being this good. The Suns sit in firm control of a top-2 seed in the Western Conference Playoffs coming down the stretch of the season. There’s also still an outside chance that Phoenix could capture the top seed should the Utah Jazz falter in the final week.

Acquiring veteran Chris Paul in the offseason has proven to be a game-changing move for the Suns. CP3 has averaged 16.5 points, 8.9 assists and 1.8 steals per game this season. He is legitimately playing at an MVP-caliber level at the age of 36, and the leadership he has brought to the locker room is also undeniable. Of course, playing alongside a gifted scorer like Devin Booker can help make any point guard look good. The Suns would undoubtedly love to see some more consistent production in the postseason from former No. 1 overall pick, Deandre Ayton.

Suns Injury Report

  • Out: Cameron Johnson, Abdel Nader

Warriors Outlook

What a difference a year makes. The Warriors are set to return to the NBA postseason just one season removed from being at the very bottom of the league standings. Even with No. 2 overall draft pick James Wiseman going down for the remainder of the season, Golden State continues to win games. A last-second win over the aforementioned Utah Jazz last night marked the third straight for the Warriors and allowed them to maintain the 8-seed in the current Western Conference standings.

Monday’s win came courtesy of a Stephen Curry 3-pointer with seconds remaining. Such an occurrence has been the norm for Golden State this season. Curry leads the NBA in scoring, averaging 31.9 points per game. He is shooting a ridiculous 42.6% from beyond the arc for the year and has knocked down six or more triples in seven of the team’s last nine games. No matter what the NBA betting odds for the award are, Curry has proven himself deserving of being named NBA MVP, as he is literally dragging a banged-up roster to the playoffs. 

Warriors Injury Report

  • Out: Kelly Oubre Jr., Eric Paschall, Damion Lee, James Wiseman, Klay Thompson
  • Suns 2020-21 Betting Trends: 41-26-1 ATS; 39-29 to the Over
  • Warriors 2020-21 Betting Trends: 34-35 ATS; 28-41 to the Over
  • Suns are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games following an outright loss.
  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home underdog.
  • The Under has hit in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings between the Suns and Warriors.

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Suns vs Warriors Statistics

  • Phoenix is averaging 114.8 points per game (PPG) this season (Tied for No. 8 in the NBA)
  • Phoenix is surrendering 109.1 PPG on the season (No. 7 in the NBA)
  • Golden State is averaging 113.4 PPG this season (Tied for No. 13 in the NBA)
  • Golden State is surrendering 112.6 PPG (Tied for No. 19 in the NBA)

Suns vs Warriors Prop Bet

Kent Bazemore Over 10.5 Points (-124)

Given the plethora of injuries that Steve Kerr and the Warriors have been forced to work around this season, players like Kent Bazemore have found themselves in much larger roles than most would’ve imagined. The NBA betting oddsmakers have set Bazemore’s point total at 10.5 for Tuesday night’s matchup. We’ll look to include the over on this prop among our NBA picks this evening.

While Bazemore is only averaging 7.0 points per game on the season, the 31-year old is coming off a 19-point effort in Monday’s win. He shot 7-14 from the floor to accumulate that total. With Kelly Oubre Jr. and Damion Lee remaining sidelined, Bazemore should find himself playing plenty of minutes once again. Unless he bottoms out on percentages, the shots and opportunities should be there for him to exceed this NBA props total.

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