The opening round of the 2022 WNBA Playoffs is set to conclude on Wednesday night with a win-or-go-home matchup between the Connecticut Sun and Dallas Wings. The first two games of this series both featured double-digit margins of victory. After the Wings responded to getting blown out in the opener with a road upset in Game 2, they now have the luxury of hosting tonight’s decisive contest. A date with the defending champion Chicago Sky in the Semifinal Round awaits the winner. The question now is which side to get behind with tonight’s Sun vs Wings prediction. The pregame WNBA betting odds are tilted in favor of the visitors.
The following game preview will get you all set for Wednesday night’s WNBA Playoffs Game 3 matchup. Included is our official Sun vs Wings prediction, the injury report for both teams, WNBA betting odds, key betting trends and much more! But first, let’s take a look at this special welcome offer from BetOnline Sportsbook.
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Sun vs Wings Prediction, WNBA Betting Odds and Game Info
WNBA Playoffs 2022 — Game 1
Connecticut Sun (25-11, 12-6 Away) vs. Dallas Wings (18-18, 8-10 Home)
Date: Wednesday, August 24, 2022
Time: 9 PM EST
Venue: College Park Center — Arlington, TX
Sun vs Wings WNBA Playoffs Game 3 Betting Preview
Connecticut Sun Preview
After looking every bit the part of a championship contender in a 25-point rout of Dallas in Game 1, the Sun came back down to Earth in a big way on Sunday. A 10-point loss at home has now forced Connecticut to travel to Texas for a winner-take-all Game 3. What was particularly concerning about the Game 2 defeat is that the Sun allowed over 11 points more than what they gave up to opponents on average during the regular season.
Fortunately, the Sun are a veteran-laden team. It would be a major surprise to see the disappointing outcome of Game 2 rattle them in tonight’s WNBA betting matchup. Jonquel Jones and Brionna Jones have proven to have a solid advantage in the paint against a lackluster Dallas interior defense. With Alyssa Thomas orchestrating the offense, Connecticut should be able to bounce back after having only three players finish in double figures on Sunday.
Dallas Wings Preview
Many were rightfully amazed by how the Wings managed to string together a last-season winning streak and remove all doubt with regard to making the postseason. The amazement was at least partially due to the fact that the winning streak coincided with leading scorer Arike Ogunbowale sustaining an abdominal injury. Although the original timetable projected her to be sidelined until the end of August, the Wings upgraded Ogunbowale to probable on the Game 3 injury report. Talk about throwing a wrench into tonight’s Sun vs Wings prediction and handicapping process!
While the now likely return of Ogunbowale will certainly provide a boost, one cannot dismiss how other Dallas players have stepped up offensively in her absence. Kayla Thornton led a quartet of Wings in double figures with 20 points in the Game 2 win. Teaira McCowan has been playing tremendous basketball over the last few weeks. This continued in Sunday’s playoff with as she posted a 17-point, 11-rebound double-double. The Wings will also need Marina Mabrey and Allisha Gray to be at their best in order to pull off another WNBA betting upset tonight.
Sun vs Wings WNBA Betting Odds
Moneyline: CON: (-255) | DAL: (+215)
Point Spread: CON: -6 (-110) | DAL: +6 (-110)
Total: 165 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages via VSiN: CON: (70%) | DAL: (30%)
Sun vs Wings Betting Trends
- Sun are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games.
- The OVER is 13-3-1 in the Sun’s last 17 road games.
- Wings are just 1-4 ATS in their last five WNBA Playoffs First Round games.
- Four of the Wings’ last five games overall have gone OVER the total.
- Each of the last five Sun vs Wings head-to-head matchups played in Dallas have stayed UNDER the total.
Connecticut Sun Injury Report
Out: Bria Hartley (knee); Jasmine Thomas (knee)
Dallas Wings Injury Report
Probable: Arike Ogunbowale (abdominal)
Sun vs Wings Stats
- Connecticut averaged 85.8 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 3 in the WNBA).
- Connecticut surrendered 77.8 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 2 in the WNBA).
- Dallas averaged 82.9 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 4 in the WNBA).
- Dallas surrendered 82.8 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 7 in the WNBA).
Sun vs Wings Prediction
Considering that Connecticut and Dallas ranked third and fourth in scoring offense respectively this season, playing under the total might seem a bit nonsensical. Once again we have an instance where the WNBA betting odds seem to be overreacting slightly to what transpired in Game 2 of this series over the weekend.
At the time of writing, the betting total of 165 for Wednesday’s win-or-go-home matchup is higher than the closing over/under for any of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these two teams. The fact that 10 of the last 14 games in this head-to-head series have gone under makes a higher total all the more suspicious.
While both teams have proven fully capable of scoring points in bunches this season, neither has been too shabby defensively either. This is particularly true when it comes to the Sun. Connecticut ranked second in scoring defense during the regular season and was also second in overall defensive rating.
Not to be outdone, Dallas averaged the second slowest pace of any team in the league. Through two games, this Sun vs Wings WNBA Playoffs series has featured less than 77 possessions per 40 minutes. This marks the second-slowest tempo of any First Round series by a wide margin.
The high stakes of this being an elimination game also must be considered. Knowing that there is no tomorrow should they lose, expect both teams to give their best effort on the defensive end.
Sun vs Wings Prediction: Under 165 (-110 at BetOnline Sportsbook)