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Sky vs Liberty Prediction, Trends, Injury Report and Betting Odds for WNBA Playoffs Game 3

The first winner-take-all game of the 2022 WNBA Playoffs will go down on Tuesday night in the Big Apple. After being upset in the series-opener on their home floor, the Chicago Sky had a resounding response waiting in Game 2. Now, the defending champs have to travel to Brooklyn to try and dispatch the New York Liberty once and for all. Based on the drastically different outcomes of the first two games in this series, it’s anyone’s guess as to how Tuesday’s decisive Game 3 will go. Despite the change in venues, the WNBA betting odds continue to favor Chicago to advance on to the Semifinal Round with tonight’s Sky vs Liberty prediction.

The following game preview will get you all set for Tuesday night’s WNBA Playoffs Game 3 matchup. Included is our official Sky vs Liberty prediction, the injury report for both teams, WNBA betting odds, key betting trends and much more! But first, let’s take a look at this special welcome offer from BetOnline Sportsbook.

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Sky vs Liberty Prediction, WNBA Betting Odds and Game Info

WNBA Playoffs 2022 — Game 3 (Series tied 1-1)
Chicago Sky (26-10, 12-6 Away) vs. New York Liberty (16-20, 9-9 Home)
Date: Tuesday, August 23, 2022
Time: 9 PM EST
Venue: Barclays Center — Brooklyn, NY
Coverage: ESPN

Sky vs Liberty WNBA Playoffs Game 3 Betting Preview

Chicago Sky Preview

Based on how the final few minutes of last week’s series-opener transpired, few could have foreseen such an emphatic response coming from the Sky to begin Game 2. By the time the first quarter of play ended on Saturday, Chicago held a 21-point lead. The defending champs never looked back from there en route to a 38-point blowout win. As has been the case in each of the six previous head-to-head meetings between these teams on the year, the Sky are once again favored by the WNBA betting odds ahead of tonight’s decisive Game 3.

Thanks to Chicago rating out to such a big lead in the opening ten minutes on Saturday, the Sky were able to preserve their season without overextending any of their stars. Each of Candace Parker, Kahleah Copper, Courtney Vandersloot and Emma Meeseman played less than 25 minutes in the blowout win. That said, Copper is listed on the team’s injury report ahead of Game 3 with an ankle injury. While it would be a major shock to see her ruled out entirely, her status is certainly worth noting with regard to Tuesday’s Sky vs Liberty prediction.

New York Liberty Preview

For the 7-seed Liberty, it will be critical to put Saturday’s blowout loss behind them. By winning the series-opener, the Liberty had already ensured the opportunity to host a decisive Game 3 on their home floor. New York may not have the same caliber of depth as the defending champs, but coach Sandy Brondello has consistently gotten the most out of her troops this season. In Game 1, the Liberty shot over 49% from the field as a team including 44% from three-point range. It very well may take similar shooting numbers to pull off another outright WNBA betting upset tonight.

Thanks to the lopsided nature of Saturday’s contest, the Liberty also wound up sitting most of their key players for the majority of the second half. After scoring 22 points apiece in the Game 1 upset, Sabrina Ionescu and Natasha Howard combined for only 15 in Game 2. As the only two reliable offensive threats on the New York roster, the pressure will be on Ionescu and Howard to deliver another high-level performance tonight. The outlook of this Game 3 Sky vs Liberty prediction will also hinge heavily on whether role players like Betnijah Laney and Stefanie Dolson can contribute offensively as they did in Game 1.

Sabrina Ionescu Sky vs Liberty Prediction, WNBA betting odds playoffs
Credit: Adam Hunger/AP Photo

Sky vs Liberty WNBA Betting Odds

All WNBA betting odds for Sky vs Liberty can be found at BetOnline Sportsbook.

Moneyline: CHI: (-305) | NY: (+255)
Point Spread: CHI: -7 (-110) | NY: +7 (-110)
Total: 165.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages via VSiN: CHI: (70%) | NY: (30%)

Sky vs Liberty Betting Trends

  • Sky are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win.
  • 13 of the Sky’s last 16 games against teams with a losing record have gone OVER the total.
  • Liberty are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record.
  • Five of the Liberty’s last six games following a straight up loss have stayed UNDER the total.
  • 13 of the last 18 Sky vs Liberty head-to-head matchups have gone OVER the total.

Chicago Sky Injury Report

Out: Li Yueru (personal)

Questionable: Kahleah Copper (ankle)

New York Liberty Injury Report


Sky vs Liberty Stats

  • Chicago averaged 86.3 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 2 in the WNBA).
  • Chicago surrendered 81.3 PPG this season (No. 4 in the WNBA).
  • New York averaged 79.6 PPG this season (No. 9 in the WNBA).
  • New York surrendered 82.0 PPG this season (No. 6 in the WNBA).

Sky vs Liberty Prediction

The first two games of this series saw the WNBA betting odds shift in favor of the Over. The opposite has transpired across the market ahead of Tuesday’s Game 3. With the current game total of 165.5 at BetOnline Sportsbook sitting two full points below where bookmakers first opened the line, buying back on the Over is preferred.

Unless bettors are assuming that Tuesday’s contest will be a blowout, betting on the Over is the way to align with recent outcomes in this head-to-head series. Of the six times the Sky and Liberty have squared off this season (including this series), four games have been decided by eight points or less. Of those four contests, three surpassed the closing WNBA betting total. 

It’s important to note that both teams shot below their season average from the field in that outlier. Even if Kahleah Copper is at less than 100%, Chicago is so deep and versatile offensively that scoring will not be an issue in Game 3.

With the Sky priced as a sizeable favorite, it seems rationale to handicap the total using a game script that will theoretically benefit them. As the team with superior offensive depth, a positive result in favor of Chicago logically correlates to a greater scoring output. With so many quality scorers on the floor, it would likely require an underwhelming shooting game from both teams to derail this game pushing upwards of 170 combined points.

Sky vs Liberty Prediction: Over 165.5 (-110 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

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