In a Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament game, the (5) San Diego State Aztecs will face off with the (1) Alabama Crimson Tide in the South Region. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting odds, March Madness expert picks, betting trends and KenPom Rankings, then give our San Diego State vs Alabama prediction. 

San Diego State vs Alabama Prediction and Sweet 16 March Madness Expert Picks

2023 NCAA Tournament – Sweet 16
No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs (27-6) vs. No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (29-6)
Date: Friday, March 24, 2022
Time: 6:30 PM EST
Venue: KFC Yum! Center — Louisville, KY
Coverage: TBS

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San Diego State vs Alabama March Madness Betting Odds

All college basketball betting odds for San Diego State vs Alabama can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: SDSU: (+278) | ALA: (-345)
Point Spread: SDSU: +7.5 (-110) | ALA: -7.5 (-110)
Total: 137 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

KenPom Rankings | Bracketology

KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com

TeamRkAdjOAdjDAdjT
San Diego State14111.991.766.0
Alabama2118.489.663.3

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  • San Diego State is 17-15-2 against the spread (ATS) this season.
  • Alabama is 20-15-1 ATS this season.
  • The UNDER is 20-14 for San Diego State this season.
  • The UNDER is 19-16-1 for Alabama this season.

San Diego State vs Alabama Prediction | Sweet 16 March Madness Expert Picks

Alabama entered the NCAA Tournament as the top overall seed. Heading into the Sweet 16, the Crimson Tide are still the favorites to win it all. They haven’t had much trouble despite star player Brandon Miller struggling so far. If he is able to focus and get his shots to fall, it will be tough for anyone to knock off Alabama.

San Diego State, on the other hand, has seen some ugly moments in the NCAA Tournament, but that is exactly what the Aztecs strive to do. They are one of the best defensive teams in the country, and they should have success on that end of the floor once again. The question will be if they can score enough points to win.

If I were betting the point spread of this Sweet 16 game, I would side with San Diego State. Alabama should win, but the Aztecs have the tools to make this a fist fight. For that reason, the UNDER looks to be the best bet of the day.

Our college basketball betting San Diego State vs Alabama prediction tonight will be the point total going UNDER at BetUS

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Alabama an 84.7% chance to win.


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I am a simple Wisconsin man: I love beer and sports. I decided to create FlurrySports because I was sick of the politics and non-stories that the fat cat corporations put out. When you see football articles from me, just know that I combine my knowledge from playing, coaching, athletic training, and sports management/economic courses to give you a unique, but I feel well-rounded point of view. I am always down to talk about anything, so follow me on Twitter @FantasyFlurry if you decide you want more of me!

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