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Providence vs South Dakota State Prediction, Bracketology and Pick for College Basketball NCAA Tournament

In a First Round NCAA Tournament game, the 4-seed Providence Friars will face off with the 13-seed South Dakota State Jackrabbits in the Midwest Region. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting odds, picks, bracketology, betting trends and KenPom Rankings, then give our Providence vs South Dakota State prediction for the game today. 

Providence vs South Dakota State | NCAA Tournament Bracketology

2022 NCAA Tournament
No. 4 Providence Friars (25-5) vs. No. 13 South Dakota State Jackrabbits (30-4)
Date: Thursday, March 17, 2022
Time: 12:40 PM EST
Venue: KeyBank Center — Buffalo, NY
Coverage: truTV

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Providence vs South Dakota State College Basketball Betting Picks and Odds

All college basketball betting odds for Providence vs South Dakota State can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: PROV: (-135) | SDSU: (+115)
Point Spread: PROV: -2.5 (-110) | SDSU: +2.5 (-110)
Total: 149.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

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Nate Watson Providence vs South Dakota State prediction NCAA Tournament bracketology college basketball picks
Credit: Mitchell Layton/Getty Images

KenPom Rankings | Bracketology

KenPom Rankings are from

ProvidenceNo. 49111.9 (No. 31)98.0 (No. 79)65.2 (No. 273)
South Dakota StateNo. 71116.8 (No. 12)105.3 (No. 220)69.4 (No. 59)
  • The OVER is 5-0 in the Friars’ last five games following an ATS loss.
  • Friars are 0-5 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in each of the Friars’ last four NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
  • Jackrabbits are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record.
  • Jackrabbits are 7-2-1 ATS in their last ten games as an underdog.
  • Six of the Jackrabbits’ last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 have gone OVER the total.

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Providence vs South Dakota State Prediction | March Madness Picks and Bracketology

Providence had a historic season by winning the Big East regular-season title for the first time in school history. Ed Cooley’s bunch parlayed this into a 4-seed in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The problem is, advanced stats and numbers suggest that the Friars are drastically overseeded. No team in college basketball had more luck this season than Providence. According to KenPom, the Friars’ Luck Rating on the year was +.194. For comparison’s sake, the second luckiest team (Samford) only had a +.162 Luck Rating. Furthermore, only six teams in all of Division I had a Luck Rating of +.130 or higher.

Now, the Friars must contend with a South Dakota State squad that has not lost a single game since December 15th! The Jackrabbits capped off a perfect Summit League season by winning the conference tournament. SDSU ranks 12th in the country in offensive efficiency averaging 112.8 points per 100 possessions. 

What’s behind SDSU’s offensive efficiency you ask? Well, the Jacks led all of D-I in three-point shooting with a team percentage of 44.93% from beyond the arc. Baylor Scheierman and Douglas Wilson are two players more than capable of creating their own shot. In turn, South Dakota State is capable of covering the spread against Providence and then some.

Our college basketball betting Providence vs South Dakota State prediction tonight will be South Dakota State +2.5 at BetUS

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Providence a 59.6% chance to win.

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