NFL Week 7 features an interesting matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the Houston Texans, following both teams losing their last game. Currently, the NFL odds feature the Packers as the road favorite. The following betting preview will give Packers vs Texans predictions, NFL picks, betting trends and NFL prop bets.
NFL Odds, NFL Picks and NFL Props | Packers vs Texans
Packers vs Texans Game Info
Green Bay Packers (4-1, 2-1 Away) vs. Houston Texans (1-5, 1-2 Home)
Date: Sunday, Oct. 25, 2020
Time: 1 p.m. EST
Venue: NRG Stadium — Houston, TX
Coverage: FOX
Packers vs Texans NFL Odds
All odds courtesy of Bovada Sportsbook
Opening Lines: Packers -3.0; O/U 56.0
Moneyline: GB: (-200) | HOU: (+170)
Spread: GB: -3.5 (-110) | HOU: +3.5 (-110)
Total: 57 – Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)
Packers vs Texans Overview
The Packers are coming off their first loss of the season, as nothing was clicking against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. With the assistance of the refs, the Packers never found much footing in the game. Bad turned worse when left tackle David Bakhtiari left the game with a chest injury. He, along with many other starters, are considered closer to doubtful for the game. Joining him is Kevin King and Darnell Savage, while Aaron Jones as a late week injury add due to his calf.
Another name on the injury list is defensive lineman Tyler Lancaster, who has already been ruled out. These front-line injuries are key for Green Bay, as Pro Football Focus gave both their offensive and defensive lines matchup advantages over Houston’s. They must still win at the point of attack, which would allow the Packers to be able to play to their strengths: run the ball and rush the passer.
Houston started last game slowly, going scoreless in the first quarter. Then, they would score double-digit points in each of the final three quarters. They were in a position to win the game but allowed the Titans to force overtime, then couldn’t stop Derrick Henry. They gave up 212 yards on the road to Henry. If the Texans continue to struggle against the run, it’s going to be a long day against the Green Bay rushing attack.
Packers vs Texans Betting Trends
- Green Bay is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games.
- The total has hit the over in five of Green Bay’s last seven games.
- Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last five games.
- The total has hit the over in five of Houston’s last seven games.
Packers vs Texans Stats
- Green Bay is averaging 32.4 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 3 in the NFL).
- Green Bay is surrendering 27.8 PPG this season (No. 20 in the NFL).
- Houston is averaging 24.3 PPG this season (No. 21 in the NFL).
- Houston is surrendering 30.3 PPG this season (No. 26 in the NFL).
Monkey Knife Fight NFL Props
Monkey Knife Fight is a DFS site unlike DraftKings or FanDuel. Instead, the contests feature props to play, with varying multipliers for each contest. Unlike the aforementioned sites, you are only competing with yourself on MKF, and you do not need to worry about annoying salary caps.
Monkey Knife Fight has several great NFL props for the entire Week 7 slate. Here is one of my favorite Packers vs Texans predictions on the site.
If Aaron Jones does not play, this contest will be cancelled and you will get your money back. So, there’s no risk with playing him here, and he should be fairly safe over David Johnson, assuming he plays. Now, both Davante Adams and Will Fuller have tough individual matchups, but there is nobody that can stop Adams one-on-one.
With the success of the running game, I think the Packers hold a lead, which will lead to a game script of Deshaun Watson a lot at the end of the game, leading to him passing for more yards.
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Packers vs Texans Predictions and NFL Picks
While the Packers’ injury list is long, I think they can overcome being shorthanded against this Houston team, especially by running the ball. The Texans allow the most rushing yards per attempt this season, at 5.4. I think this is the difference in the game, as the Packers establish the run and set up play-action, where they are the most dangerous.
NFL Picks: Packers -3.5
Bonus NFL Prop
1st Quarter Spread: Packers -0.5 (+100)
The Packers continue to start fast under Matt LaFleur, and we talked above about how the Texans started the last game slow. Houston has averaged just 2.3 first-quarter points this season, which is tied for the second-worst in the league.
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