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NFL Playoff Picture for the NFC Going Into Week 15

Zach McAdoo by Zach McAdoo
December 15, 2021
in NFL
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The NFL playoff picture for the NFC looks more separated from the top to the bottom when it comes to teams who are still in it. Three teams at the top tied at 10-3, and there are still two teams that are 4-9 that mathematically still are alive for the NFL Playoffs.

With this in mind, let’s take a look at the NFL playoff picture for the NFC going into Week 15 of the regular season. Included with each team is their playoff probabilities.

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green bay packers nfl playoff picture playoffs
Credit: Jeff Hanisch/USA TODAY Sports

NFL Playoff Picture | NFC

#1 Green Bay Packers (10-3) 1st NFC North

  • 99% chance to make the playoffs
  • 99% chance to win the division
  • 45% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: @BAL, CLE, MIN, @DET

#2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-3) 1st NFC South

  • 99% chance to make the playoffs
  • 99% chance to win the division
  • 39% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: NO, @CAR, @NYJ, CAR

#3 Arizona Cardinals (10-3) 1st NFC West

  • 99% chance to make the playoffs
  • 89% chance to win the division
  • 10% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: @DET, IND, @DAL, SEA

#4 Dallas Cowboys (9-4) 1st NFC East

  • 99% chance to make the playoffs
  • 95% chance to win the division
  • 5% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: @NYG, WSH, ARI, @PHI

RELATED | Week 15 NFL Power Rankings


#5 Los Angeles Rams (9-4) 2nd NFC West

  • 97% chance to make the playoffs
  • 11% chance to win the division
  • 0.6% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: SEA, @MIN, @BAL, SF

#6 San Francisco 49ers (7-6) 3rd NFC West

  • 75% chance to make the playoffs
  • 0.2% chance to win the division
  • <0.1% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: ATL, @TEN, HOU, @LAR

#7 Washington Football Team (6-7) 2nd NFC East

  • 27% chance to make the playoffs
  • 3% chance to win the division
  • <0.1% chance to earn the one seed
  • Remaining games: @PHI, @DAL, PHI, @NYG

Out of NFL Playoffs If They Started Today

Minnesota Vikings (6-7)

Remaining games: @CHI, LAR, @GB, CHI

Philadelphia Eagles (6-7)

Remaining games: WSH, NYG, @WSH , DAL

Atlanta Falcons (6-7)

Remaining games: @SF, DET, @BUF, NO

New Orleans Saints (6-7)

Remaining games: @TB, MIA, CAR, @ATL

Carolina Panthers (5-8)

Remaining games: @BUF, TB, @NO, @TB

Seattle Seahawks (5-8)

Remaining games: @LAR, CHI, DET, @ARI

New York Giants (4-9)

Remaining games: DAL, @PHI, @CHI, WSH

Chicago Bears (4-9)

Remaining games: MIN, @SEA, NYG, @MIN

Maybe Next Year

Detroit Lions (1-11-1)

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Tags: Arizona CardinalsAtlanta FalconsCarolina PanthersChicago BearsDallas CowboysDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersLos Angeles RamsMinnesota VikingsNew Orleans SaintsNew York GiantsNFLNFL PlayoffsSan Francisco 49ersSeattle SeahawksTampa Bay BuccaneersWashington Football Team
Zach McAdoo

Zach McAdoo

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