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    You are at:Home»NFL»NFL Playoff Picture for the AFC Going Into Week 16

    NFL Playoff Picture for the AFC Going Into Week 16

    Zach McAdooBy Zach McAdooDecember 23, 2021No Comments2 Mins Read NFL
    Patrick Mahomes MVP Odds, Super Bowl Props and Picks 2025
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    The NFL playoff picture for the AFC has changed a bit, with some surprises last week. We saw a change at the top, as well as a new division leader. With three weeks left to play in the season, some games this week can make or break the NFL Playoff chances for some teams as well as make some divisions clearer.

    nfl playoff picture playoffs week 16
    Credit: Scott Winters/Getty Images

    NFL Playoff Picture | AFC

    NFL Playoff percentages provided by FiveThirtyEight

    #1 Kansas City Chiefs (10-4) 1st in AFC West

    • 99% chance to make the playoffs
    • 95% chance to win the division
    • 62% chance to earn the one seed
    • Remaining games:  PIT, @CIN, @DEN

    #2 New England Patriots (9-5) 1st in AFC East

    • 98% chance to make the playoffs
    • 67% chance to win the division
    • 23% chance to earn the one seed
    • Remaining games: BUF, JAX, @MIA

    #3 Tennesee Titans (9-5) 1st in AFC South

    • 95% chance to make the playoffs
    • 84% chance to win the division
    • 11% chance earn the one seed
    • Remaining games: SF, MIA, @HOU

    #4 Cincinnati Bengals (8-6) 1st in AFC North

    • 50% chance to make the playoffs
    • 38% chance to win the division
    • 1% chance to earn the one seed
    • Remaining games: BAL, KC, @CLE

    RELATED | Week 16 NFL Power Rankings


    #5 Indianapolis Colts (8-6) 2nd AFC South

    • 89% chance to make the playoffs
    • 16% chance to win the division
    • 1% chance to earn the one seed
    • Remaining games: @ARI, LV, @JAX

    #6 Los Angeles Chargers (8-6) 2nd in AFC West

    • 76% chance to make the playoffs
    • 5% chance to win the division
    • .9% chance to earn the one seed
    • Remaining games: @HOU, DEN, @LV

    #7 Buffalo Bills (8-6) 2nd AFC East

    • 76% chance to make the playoffs
    • 33% chance to win the division
    • .6% chance to earn the one seed
    • Remaining games: @NE, ATL, NYJ

    Out of NFL Playoffs if They Started Today

    Baltimore Ravens (8-6)

    Remaining games: @CIN, LAR, PIT

    Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6-1)

    Remaining games: @KC, CLE, @BAL

    Las Vegas Raiders (7-7)

    Remaining games: DEN, @IND, LAC

    Miami Dolphins (7-7)

    Remaining games: @NO, @TEN, NE

    Cleveland Browns (7-7)

    Remaining games: @GB, @PIT, CIN

    Denver Broncos (7-7)

    Remaining games: @LV, @LAC, KC

    Maybe Next Year

    New York Jets

    Houston Texans

    Jacksonville Jaguars


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