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Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction, Picks and NHL Betting Odds

Two of the NHL’s “Original Six” will get together in Boston tonight, as the Maple Leafs vs Bruins continue this loaded NHL Tuesday slate. These teams share an identical record, and both trail the Tampa Bay Lightning by just one point for the second spot in the Atlantic Division. This is just the second time these teams will have met in the regular season, but their next two matchups could indicate what might happen in a likely playoff series.

Let’s take a look at the NHL betting odds, trends and picks for the game and give our Maple Leafs vs Bruins prediction.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins NHL Betting Preview and Prediction

NHL Regular Season
Toronto Maple Leafs (41-19-5, 17-12-3 Away) vs. Boston Bruins (41-19-5, 20-10-2 Home)
Date: Sunday, March 29, 2022
Time: 7:00 p.m. EST
Venue: TD Garden – Boston, MA
Coverage: ESPN+

Goaltending: TOR: Erik Kallgren (2.49/.917 – Expected) | BOS: Jeremy Swayman (2.09/.925 – Expected)

The previous Maple Leafs vs Bruins meeting this season went differently than the final score might indicate. While Toronto defeated Boston 5-2 on home ice, it took an impressive 42 saves from then healthy goaltender Jack Campbell to keep them in the game and will them to victory. Reliable goaltending has not been a luxury afforded to the Maple Leafs this season, as it has been a revolving door of disappointing efforts. Campbell, whose win numbers are a bit inflated thanks to the luxury of playing on a top-three scoring team, is nursing injured ribs and will likely be back on this ice this week.

In his absence, the Maple Leafs are calling upon 25-year-old Erik Kallgren to make his fifth start of the season. As teams who are dead even in so many areas across the board, the one advantage in this game is goaltending experience. Expect the Bruins to test the Toronto netminder early and often.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction, Picks and NHL Betting Odds
Credit: Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Maple Leafs vs Bruins NHL Betting Odds & Spread

NHL Betting odds for Maple Leafs vs Bruins are taken from BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: TOR: (+110) | BOS: (-130)
Puck Line: TOR: +1.5 (-220) | BOS: -1.5 (+180)
Total: 6 — Over: (-125) | Under: (+105)
Team Totals: TOR o3 (-115) / u3 (-115) | BOS o3.5 (+105) / u3.5 (-135)
Public (Spread) Betting via Action Network
 TOR: (47%) | BOS: (53%)
Odds to Win Stanley Cup: TOR: (+1200) | BOS: (+1600)

Maple Leafs vs Bruins NHL Betting Trends

– Toronto is 27-38 (41.5%) ATS this season
– Toronto is 34-27-4 (55.4%) to the Over this season
– Boston is 26-39 (40%) ATS this season
– Boston is 30-30-5 (50%) to the Over this season

Maple Leafs vs Bruins NHL Stats

– Toronto averages 3.65 goals per game (GPG) this season (No. 3 in NHL)
– Maple Leafs have surrendered 3.02 GPG (No. 17 in NHL)
– Boston averages 3.05 GPG this season (No. 16 in NHL)
– Bruins have surrendered 2.65 GPG (No. 5 in NHL)
– Toronto has a goal differential of +42 in 65 games this season
– Boston has a goal differential of +26 in 65 games this season


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Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction

The Bruins carrry a four-game win streak into this contest, and winning streaks can often be a detriment when you face another very good team. More importantly, the Maple Leafs have been beatable outside of Toronto, even losing to the Canadiens and Sabres on their current three-game road losing streak. With the edge Swayman gives Boston in net, -130 seems like an appropriate price to pay on the way to a Bruins moneyline victory.

Our NHL betting Maple Leafs vs Bruins prediction tonight will be Bruins ML at BetUS

For what it’s worth, numberFire gives the Bruins a 51.4% chance to win.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction and Picks

Boston Bruins – ML (-130)


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