Wednesday night’s WNBA betting matchup between the Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury carries massive weight with regard to the league’s playoff race. Coming into the day, Minnesota and Phoenix are two of the four teams currently separated by a single game in the standings. Only two of the four clubs will be able to make the 2022 WNBA Playoffs. Thus, the winning side of tonight’s Lynx vs Mercury prediction will be able to boost their playoff chances in a big way. Interestingly enough, the WNBA betting odds have installed the visitors as a slight favorite ahead of this showdown.
The following game preview includes our official Liberty vs Wings prediction, the injury report for both teams, WNBA betting odds, key betting trends and much more! But first, let’s take a look at this special welcome offer from BetOnline Sportsbook.
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Lynx vs Mercury Prediction, WNBA Betting Odds and Game Info
WNBA Regular Season Game
Minnesota Lynx (13-20, 6-10 Away) vs. Phoenix Mercury (14-19, 10-5 Home)
Date: Wednesday, August 10, 2022
Time: 10 PM EST
Venue: Footprint Center — Phoenix, AZ
Lynx vs Mercury WNBA Betting Game Preview
Minnesota Lynx Preview
The Lynx have been triumphant in three of their last four overall coming into Wednesday’s WNBA betting matchup. Most recently, Minnesota picked up a 10-point win at home over Atlanta this past weekend. While the team remains seven games under .500 for the season, a 13-20 mark isn’t all that bad considering where this team was at a month and a half ago. The Lynx actually started out the year losing 13 of their first 16 games. Interestingly enough, consecutive wins over Phoenix in late June are what sparked the team’s turnaround.
A turnaround that began while star center Sylvia Fowles was sidelined by injury has largely continued since she made her return to the lineup. Fowles continues to lead the Lynx in both scoring and rebounding in this, her final WNBA season. One key aspect of Minnesota’s improvement has been the consistent play of Moriah Jefferson. Alongside Kayla McBride, she has allowed the Lynx to have a formidable backcourt duo. Bettors will need to keep an eye on the injury status of Aerial Powers when making tonight’s Lynx vs Mercury prediction.
Phoenix Mercury Preview
Speaking of injuries and questionable statuses, the Mercury find themselves in quite a bind entering tonight’s contest. On Tuesday, the team announced that future WNBA Hall of Famer Diana Taurasi will miss the rest of the season due to a quadriceps injury. Fellow backcourt member Skylar Diggins-Smith missed the Mercury’s game three days ago with an illness and remains questionable to play tonight. Of course, Phoenix also remains without center Brittney Griner, whose ongoing legal issues in Russia have cast a bit of a shadow over the team’s 2022 season.
Despite both Taurasi and Diggins-Smith being absent from the lineup on Sunday, the Mercury still managed to pick up a win over New York. Diamond DeShields, who just last week returned from her own brief injury-related absence, came up huge in the victory with 25 points. Sophie Cunningham continued her strong play of late with 18 points and eight rebounds. Unless Diggins-Smith is cleared to play in Wednesday’s Lynx vs Mercury WNBA betting matchup, Phoenix will once again lean heavily on DeShields and Sophie Cunningham to carry the weight offensively.
Lynx vs Mercury WNBA Betting Odds
Moneyline: MIN: (-165) | PHX: (+145)
Point Spread: MIN: -3.5 (-115) | PHX: +3.5 (-105)
Total: 163 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages via VSiN: MIN: (70%) | PHX: (30%)
Lynx vs Mercury Betting Trends
- Lynx are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
- Mercury are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win.
- Each of the Mercury’s last four games has gone UNDER the total.
- Ten of the last 14 Lynx vs Mercury head-to-head matchups have stayed UNDER the total.
- Lynx are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 head-to-head matchups against the Mercury played in Phoenix.
Minnesota Lynx Injury Report
Out: Damiris Dantas (personal)
Questionable: Aerial Powers (knee)
Phoenix Mercury Injury Report
Out: Diana Taurasi (quadriceps); Kia Nurse (knee); Brittney Griner (personal)
Questionable: Skylar Diggins-Smith (illness)
Lynx vs Mercury Stats
- Minnesota is averaging 82.7 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 4 in the WNBA).
- Minnesota is surrendering 83.6 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 8 in the WNBA).
- Phoenix is averaging 81.5 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 7 in the WNBA).
- Phoenix is surrendering 84.4 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 10 in the WNBA).
Lynx vs Mercury Prediction
To say that this game serves up a lot of layers that bettors must keep track of would be an understatement. The Lynx and Mercury are both desperate for wins here in the final week of the season as they chase the two remaining postseason spots. The fact that both sides also have impactful players in jeopardy of missing this contest only adds to the difficulty of making a winning Lynx vs Mercury prediction.
One also cannot overlook the fact that the WNBA betting odds even have the Lynx favored in this spot. Just how far has Phoenix fallen in the eyes of the oddsmakers? Well, the Mercury were priced as a six-point favorite for their previous home game against the Lynx back on June 21st. Of course, Minnesota went on to spring an outright upset and managed to take down the Merc again in Minneapolis just two days later. Coupled with a third overtime win at home in mid-July, the Lynx have been victorious in all three head-to-head meetings between the teams this year.
While past results within the 2022 WNBA betting campaign and previous years favor the Lynx, the adjustment on tonight’s point spread relative to the first time the two teams met in the desert is incredibly large. The Mercury just proved to be capable of winning at home even when shorthanded this past weekend. On the year, ten of Phoenix’s 14 wins have come at the Footprint Center. If Skylar Diggins-Smith is able to return from her illness in time for Wednesday’s game, one has to like the outlook of catching points with the host Mercury.
Lynx vs Mercury Prediction: Mercury +3.5 (-105 at BetOnline Sportsbook)