Points are expected to be scored in bunches in this matchup between an unbeaten FBS Independent and an ACC opponent. The narrow point spread for the game favors the home team. Here are the Liberty vs NC State predictions and college football picks for Week 12 in the NCAAF season.
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Odds courtesy of Bovada Sportsbook
Liberty vs NC State Predictions
BYU may have the top-10 ranking next to their name, but they aren’t the only FBS Independent making noise on the gridiron this season. Liberty enters Saturday’s matchup at NC State with a perfect 7-0 record. Yet, the Flames still find themselves as short underdogs in the college football picks odds. Liberty is a 3.5-point spread at Bovada Sportsbook after an opening line of NC State -4.
Hugh Freeze’s squad will be looking to complete a trifecta sweep against ACC opponents this weekend. After downing Syracuse earlier in the season, the Flames upset Virginia Tech in unforgettable fashion two weeks ago. Quarterback Malik Willis has been churning out quality stat lines left and right. Fellow senior Joshua Mack has been getting it done on the ground as well, averaging 5.2 YPC. Liberty should have no trouble scoring against the Wolfpack’s suspect defense. The biggest test will be slowing down NC State’s own explosive offense.
Even without injured QB Devin Leary, the Wolfpack offense has continued humming with redshirt junior Bailey Hockman stepping in under center. Hockman has five touchdown passes over the last two games, and he will likely need a few more on Saturday if NC State is going to cover as college football picks favorites. The Wolfpack defense has been leaking points all season long, including giving up 45 to the same VA Tech team Liberty beat in a 21-point loss. And that was back when the Hokies were without QB Hendon Hooker.
Liberty vs NC State Predictions: Liberty +3.5
I really like the current spread of Liberty +3.5 because of getting the extra hook off the key number of three. This game very well could come down to a last-second kick, but the hook ensures a Liberty bet would still cash. The Flames have proven time and again that they can play with the big boys in the ACC. NC State’s problematic defense is added motivation to include Liberty among this week’s college football picks.