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Patrick Mahomes MVP Odds, Super Bowl Props and Picks 2025

Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Preview

Zach Brunner by Zach Brunner
August 9, 2019
in Fantasy Football, Fantasy, Fantasy Football Articles
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All 32 Fantasy Football Team Previews

 

2018 Stats (Rank)

Total Offense: 6,810 Yards (1st)
Offensive Touchdowns: 66 (1st)
Offensive Plays Per Game: 62.3 (23rd)
Pass Attempts + Sacks: 609 (12th)
Rush Attempts: 387 (23rd)
Run/Pass Split: Run – 39% | Pass – 61%
Unaccounted for Targets: 148 (Extra 8.6/game Hill is out)
Unaccounted for Carries: 235

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Projected Win Total

The Chiefs’ over/under currently sits at 10.0, after they went 12-4 last season. After the unbelievable performance by Patrick Mahomes, who was essentially a first-year player, regression is expected. The AFC West around the Kansas City has also gotten tougher, which explains the win total being set at 10.

 

Strength of Schedule

SOS is measured by calculating the fantasy points allowed by each team’s opponents to determine who has the easiest and most difficult fantasy schedules (rank #1 has the easiest schedule).

QB: 32nd
RB: 31st
WR: 32nd
TE: 8th

 

Passing Game

QB: Patrick Mahomes, Chad Henne
WR: Tyreek Hill, Demarcus Robinson
WR: Sammy Watkins, Byron Pringle
WR: Mecole Hardman, Gehrig Dieter
TE: Travis Kelce, Blake Bell

Reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes is the consensus QB1. Even with expected regression, there should be no argument there. The same can be said about the consensus TE1, Travis Kelce. Things get more complicated with the wide receivers. It is looking more and more like Tyreek Hill will not be suspended. If this is the case, the WR3 in PPR last season is undervalued, with a current ADP of WR19. On the opposite side, you would then say Sammy Watkins, who continues to get hyped up and then under-performs, is overvalued, at WR25. It really depends on if there is a punishment. If Hill were to miss time, rookie Mecole Hardman, who was selected as sort of an insurance policy at the same time as Hill was initially punished by the team, would attempt to fill that void and would become really interesting.

 

Running Game

RB: Damien Williams, Carlos Hyde, Darwin Thompson
2018 OL Run Rank: 16th

Andy Reid and top-performing running backs go together like PB&J. Reid has coached a RB1 in 12 of the 20 seasons he has been a head coach, and Damien Williams looks to be number 13. In five appearances taking over for Kareem Hunt last season, Williams averaged 29.44 fantasy points in PPR scoring, beating out Todd Gurley’s average of 26.6. Currently being drafted as RB14, Williams will look to play above his ADP. Behind him, Carlos Hyde is a notable name, but should not be seen as a threat or a true handcuff.

 

 

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Tags: Damien WilliamsFantasy FootballKansas City ChiefsPatrick MahomesTravis KelceTyreek Hill
Zach Brunner

Zach Brunner

I am a simple Wisconsin man: I love beer and sports. I decided to create FlurrySports because I was sick of the politics and non-stories that the fat cat corporations put out. When you see football articles from me, just know that I combine my knowledge from playing, coaching, athletic training, and sports management/economic courses to give you a unique, but I feel well-rounded point of view. I am always down to talk about anything, so follow me on Twitter @FantasyFlurry if you decide you want more of me!

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