The second game of tonight’s NBA national TV doubleheader features an interesting cross-conference affair between the Miami Heat and the Golden State Warriors. These two teams have been no strangers to deep playoff runs in recent years. A win tonight could help each build momentum into the 2024 calendar year after slow starts to the season. Let’s explore the Heat vs Warriors betting odds, trends and injury report before offering our official NBA betting picks for the game.

Heat vs Warriors Prediction | NBA Game Tonight

Miami Heat (18-12, 9-6 Away) vs. Golden State Warriors (15-15, 9-6 Home)
Date: Thursday, December 28, 2023
Time: 10:00 PM EST
Venue: Chase Center — San Francisco, CA
Coverage: NBA TV

Heat vs Warriors NBA Betting Picks and Odds

All NBA betting odds for Heat vs Warriors can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: MIA: (+125) | GSW: (-145)
Point Spread: MIA: +3.5 (-110) | GSW: -3.5 (-110)
Total:  228.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

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NBA Net Ratings

Net Ratings are from NBA.com

TeamRankNET RtgOFF RtgDEF Rtg
Heat121.9115.6113.8
Warriors141.0115.7114.6

Heat vs Warriors Injury Report

Heat Injury Report

  • Doubtful: Caleb Martin (ankle); Josh Richardson (back)
  • Questionable: Jimmy Butler (calf); Duncan Robinson (ankle); Kyle Lowry (general soreness)

Warriors Injury Report

  • Out: Draymond Green (suspension); Gary Payton II (calf)
  • Five of the Heat’s last six games have gone OVER the total.
  • Heat are 9-3 straight up in their last 12 road games.
  • Warriors are 5-1 both straight up and ATS in their last six games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of the Warriors’ last 18 games.
  • Five of the last six Heat vs Warriors head-to-head matchups have gone OVER the total.

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Heat vs Warriors Prediction | NBA Betting Picks

This will be the first game for both teams since they were in action on Christmas Day. Despite having their five-game winning streak snapped at the hands of the defending champs on Christmas, the NBA betting odds list the Warriors as a short home favorite for tonight’s contest.

Even in the absence of Draymond Green, the Warriors have been playing good basketball. Along with Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson, Golden State has been getting ample contributions from young players such as Jonathan Kuminga and rookie, Brandin Podziemski. The fact that the recent winning streak has left the Warriors sitting 11th in the Western Conference with a .500 record sheds some light on how poorly this team started the season.

Meanwhile, the Heat have managed to win three consecutive games in their own right despite being without Jimmy Butler. He has made it up to the questionable line ahead of Thursday’s contest as he continues to work back from a calf injury.

Butler’s presence would benefit the Heat in this road matchup, but beating the Warriors in their building is never easy. That said, Bam Adebayo could be a real matchup issue for the Dubs inside. If rookie Jaime Jacquez can have another performance similar to his Christmas Day outburst, Miami will be a very live underdog in this spot.

Our NBA betting Heat vs Warriors prediction tonight will be Heat +3.5 at BetUS

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Golden State a 56.7% chance to win this game outright.

Bet: Heat +3.5 (-110 at BetUS)


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Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball and NASCAR. He counts the NFL, the WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.

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