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Duke vs Virginia Prediction and College Basketball Betting Picks

In an ACC college basketball matchup today, the Duke Blue Devils are taking on the Virginia Cavaliers at John Paul Jones Arena. Let’s take a look at the top college basketball betting odds, picks, betting trends and KenPom Rankings, then give our Duke vs Virginia prediction for the game today. 

Duke vs Virginia Game Info

No. 7 Duke Blue Devils (23-4, 13-3 ACC) vs. Virginia Cavaliers (17-10, 11-6 ACC)
Date: Wednesday, February 23, 2022
Time: 7 PM EST
Venue: John Paul Jones Arena — Charlottesville, VA
Coverage: ESPN

Duke vs Virginia College Basketball Betting Picks and Odds

All college basketball betting odds for Duke vs Virginia can be found at BetUS Sportsbook.

Moneyline: DUKE: (-210) | UVA: (+175)
Point Spread: DUKE: -5 (-110) | UVA: +5 (-110)
Total: 130 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Duke vs Virginia Prediction and College Basketball Betting Picks
Credit: Rob Kinnan/USA TODAY Sports

Duke vs Virginia College Basketball Betting Preview

The Blue Devils have lost four games this entire season by a combined nine points. One of their most painful losses was a one-point home loss to Virginia just over two weeks ago. Duke has been on a tear ever since, winning four straight, with just one game being decided by less than 11 points. Paolo Banchero was oddly quiet in their last meeting with just nine points and four turnovers. Averaging over 15 points, eight rebounds and three assists in the four games since then, his play is crucial for Duke to avenge their previous loss.

For as bad as their season started, Virginia has caught fire lately winning five of their last six. The Cavaliers are firmly on the bubble and another victory over Duke could all but solidify them a spot in the NCAA tournament. Tony Bennett’s team still sports a staunch defense that allows just 60 points per game. Their offense has caused problems for them all season though as they only average 63 points per game. If this is a slugfest, Virginia has a huge advantage. If the Cavaliers need to match Duke’s offensive firepower though, this could get out of hand.

KenPom Rankings

KenPom Rankings are from KenPom.com

TeamRkAdjOAdjDAdjT
Duke8117.692.868.1
Virginia74109.298.659.5
  • Duke is 9-1 straight up in their last 10 games.
  • The OVER is 4-2 in Duke’s last six games.
  • Duke is 4-9 against the spread (ATS) in their last 13 games against Virginia.
  • Virginia is 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
  • The OVER is 5-2 in Virginia’s last seven games.

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Duke vs Virginia Prediction | College Basketball Betting Picks

The big reason that Virginia won the last outing was thanks to poor shooting across the board. The Cavaliers shot just 16% from deep while Duke shot only 42% from the field. You’d have to assume that both teams play a little better and this game becomes more high-scoring.

The total from the last game was 137. Even if Virginia’s defense shuts down Duke again, one would have to believe even Virginia’s offense would improve. With the total from last game already above the total line for this game, betting the over should be one of the easiest bets you make all season.

Our college basketball betting Duke vs Virginia prediction tonight will be OVER HITS at BetUS

For what it’s worth, the ESPN Matchup Predictor gives Duke a 75.1% chance to win.

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